I know the current price of the yule log is indate, but I'm a bit skeptical about valuing it so high right now since both of its sellers (you being one of them) are only asking 30 for it. we'll see how you and the other guy do though I suppose (unsold or quicksell or whatever)

Two on market right now at 14, and 15. 36 seems a bit overpriced

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31114;5;u11 - sold for $22.95 (12 keys)

https://imgur.com/a/qmUdyOu

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Head%20Of%20Defense?filter=logo - seller at 12~ keys

this seems extremely high

More sales:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127122103#!/compare/1602374400/1602547200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188229086#!/compare/1602547200/1602633600

sold for ~12 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091971712#!/compare/1602201600/1602547200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127122103#!/compare/1602374400/1602547200

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198995068737#!/compare/1599350400/1602288000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198217974933#!/compare/1591488000/1602028800

untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110719715#!/compare/1599696000/1599868800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069472222#!/compare/1600128000/1600387200

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069472222#!/compare/1600905600/1601078400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199052779555#!/compare/1600992000/1601078400

Sold for ST Conga + ~1 key in sweets

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199052779555#!/compare/1601510400/1601856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400

QS to stn

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415159702#!/compare/1599609600/1599696000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198245201398#!/compare/1599523200/1599696000

Bulk / untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198245201398#!/compare/1599955200/1600041600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799721761#!/compare/1600041600/1600128000

Sold for 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799721761#!/compare/1600128000/1600300800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157452762#!/compare/1600214400/1600300800

Sold for 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157452762#!/compare/1600473600/1600560000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273326549#!/compare/1600473600/1600560000

Sold for ~13 keys?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273326549#!/compare/1600473600/1600560000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209066104#!/compare/1600560000/1600646400

Sold for ~13 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209066104#!/compare/1600732800/1600819200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198257043011#!/compare/1600732800/1600819200

Sold for 15 keys

Conga is minimum ~20 keys, and would be high, given that it QS to stn soon after and 15 reselling for lower.

Total sales @:

12, 12, 13, 13, 15, 15, 15, ~20, 36 keys

your current suggestion is very high.

Feel free to resuggest at 12 - 15 keys.