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~61 keys
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Unusual Front Runner Circling Heart
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Resuggest!

Price Update!


Histories with sales:


https://backpack.tf/item/7955484953 -> 1 sale


Sale #1:


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047276038#!/compare/1594598400/1596326400


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077875601#!/compare/1594252800/1596585600


Untraceable as to what it sold for...


https://backpack.tf/item/2413029571 -> Few sales


Sale #1:


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126695508#!/compare/1595980800/1596153600


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199019427074#!/compare/1595462400/1596067200


Found a history match of 36k pure


Sale #2:


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199019427074#!/compare/1596326400/1596499200


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084017709#!/compare/1594339200/1596412800


Sold for many items- (collectors pro ks huntsman, genuine ap-sap, Hot bamboo minigun, pro ks aussie wrench, festivized pro ks loch n load


rough total = 92.83k (~93k)


Marketplace sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/760;5;u19


July 28th @ 99.99 / 1.92 = 52.07k (~52k)


Total sales @

36k

52k

93k


Going with 52k flat due to advice from lemons, thx bro

    Sale 1 is likely a QS; Colonel traded with Thacure, who likely gave him some amount of keys for it.

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198443632133#!/compare/1594425600/1596758400


    The sale involving the 36 keys is also incorrect.

    I was able to key count, and i managed to find 76 keys that did match. The Burning Fragger sold for keys, 62 of which were used to buy the Runner. the other 14 were from the group of 36 that did not match any of the 62 keys.

    I can't say for certain if there are more keys or not. But that puts the sale at 65 keys.


    I think you should attempt to contact the buyer / seller in that sale, and see if they can confirm the sale.

    Please reply to this comment if / when they give you confirmation.

      I got into contact with Blizz this morning and he confirmed it was a 36k sale:


      [7:55 AM]

      ThatPillsGuy:

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126695508#!/compare/1595980800/1596153600

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199019427074#!/compare/1595462400/1596067200

      this is a trade u did a while back for a circling heart front runner - i could only trace 36k as the sale but I need to know if it was 36k or if it was higher


      [7:56 AM]

      blizz:

      p sure it was 36

      as a qucksell


      Note: Buyers are now up to 55k so either leave it outdated or go with the 93k sale

        can i get a screenshot of the chat, instead of just the text?

            Hm, So that likely means the keys I counted were from a different sale. There is evidence the users traded with each other multiple times...


            So, we have a QS (Sale one of item 1), a 25 key sale (subtract 11 keys in sweets), a 52 key sale, and a 93 key sale that is actually bulk (caribou + leadwear + runner for the aussies)

            given that this hat hasn't sold recently for any amount supporting 93, it shouldn't be updated to that.


            we also have this:

            https://i.imgur.com/E1Pfq2z.png

            146.2/3.1 = 47.16 keys


            so, despite buyers being high, nothing points to it being worth as much as buyers say they are right now, and it definitely is not worth it's current price.


            Given all of this, I'm going to accept this as is, as it is a better reflection of the value of this item than 92.5 keys.


    Thank you for pricing that bumble beanie. You have my blessing good sir!