all credits to WesBoy and Xergoyf

resuggest: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f35c91c05198c17b81ff67d

bot.tf:

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1111&q=5&ef=Mega+Strike&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0

https://i.imgur.com/bzAkpkk.png

Past 90 days sold:

1 @ 5 keys {5 keys}

1 @ 5 keys {5 keys}

1 @ 5 keys {5 keys}

1 @ 5 keys {5 keys}

Past 90 days bought

1 @ 4 keys, 15.11 ref {4.3 keys}

1 @ 4 keys, 15.00 ref {4.3 keys}

1 @ 4 keys, 15.11 ref {4.3 keys}

1 @ 4 keys, 15.00 ref {4.3 keys}

1 @ 4 keys, 15.00 ref {4.3 keys}

1 @ 4 keys, 15.00 ref {4.3 keys}

Summary: Taking keys as 49 refined. Going with 4.5 - 5.

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Marketplace.tf sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1111;5;u3010

$11.99 / $1.98 = 6.06 keys - high

$13.99 / $1.99 = 7.03 keys - high

$7.66 / $1.98 = 3.87 keys - low

$6.25 / $1.92 = 3.26 keys - low

$9.59 / $1.87 = 5.13 keys

$9.59 / $1.80 = 5.33 keys - high

$9.59 / $1.79 = 5.36 - high

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Xergoyfs comment:

"When using bot.tf stats for unusuals, you can only use a price point when there are 3 or more sales at that price. In this case, as there are 4 at 5 keys and 6 at 4 keys 15 ref, this should be fine. In cases where there are less, you need to trace those sales to guarantee they sold for that price.

One mistake here though, 4 keys 15 ref is 4.3 keys, not 4.5. With the additional 5.13 sale from marketplace.tf, I would re-suggest at 4.3 - 5.15 keys."

Xergoyf on discord:

" can extend the high-end to 5.35 now due to market shifts, new mp sales support."