Resuggest

Unpriced!

Histories:

https://backpack.tf/item/8864598544 -> No previous owners...

https://backpack.tf/item/8525194228 -> No in-date sales (marketplace seller)

https://backpack.tf/item/8669925640 -> No previous owners...

https://backpack.tf/item/8558282520 -> No in-date sales...

https://backpack.tf/item/8427191753 -> No previous owners...

https://backpack.tf/item/8491003228 -> Plenty of sales.

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198256998558#!/compare/1590364800/1590969600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198805549376#!/compare/1590278400/1590624000

Untrace...

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198805549376#!/compare/1591228800/1591401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101915413#!/compare/1591228800/1591315200

Possibly sold for 14k??? Not very clear as many keys were traded - i will count this as a "potential" sale... however 0.2 off b.o

Sale #3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101915413#!/compare/1591574400/1591660800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259122454#!/compare/1591488000/1591747200

Sold for an orbiting fire slick cut (mini not needed as 1 is currently being done by another guy @ 15.5k) + 3k pure

Total here then 18.5k (~19k)

Sale #4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259122454#!/compare/1591574400/1592611200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1592265600/1592784000

Untraceable...

Sale #5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323733331#!/compare/1592784000/1593129600

Used in bulk? 3 (included beenie) unusuals went into programs bp from Sujak but doesnt show any keys being removed from Programs bp...

Sale #6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323733331#!/compare/1593302400/1593648000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832634596#!/compare/1592956800/1593648000

Untraceable...

Sale #7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832634596#!/compare/1593475200/1593648000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085880346#!/compare/1593561600/1593734400

Doesnt show beenie even being transferred however it looks to have potentially been sold for a Defragmenting reality telefragger toque (unpriced - histories match) - i will do a mini for the toque before pricing this...

Marketplace sales:

July 14th @ 39.59 / 1.93 = 20.51k (~21k)

Total sales:

Possibly 14k (yet too close to b.o so will likely not include)

19k

21k

Defrag-reality toque (30-32k) + 2k = 33k

14k is a low outlier and 33k as a very high outlier

New Evidence:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198256998558#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198805549376#!/compare/1591142400/1591228800 - sale 1 sold for 15 keys (credits Scourge)

sale 2 was also 15 keys not 14 (credits Scourge)

additional sales:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1598572800/1598659200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198329540909#!/compare/1598659200/1598918400 - sold for 17 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198243410170#!/compare/1598313600/1599350400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346906277#!/compare/1598918400/1599004800 - sold for 18.5~ keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085880346#!/compare/1598659200/1598745600 - bulk

15 - 21 keys should be fine here

Taking a new price of 15-21k