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2 recent sales (I bought one :) )
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1113;5;u3025
Aug 28 - $ 23,99
Aug 29 - $ 23,99
Key price was 1,85 on both days [23,99/1,85=12,967]
Also Jul 6th for $ 20,5 but it's 71 days old and buyers are higher on bp.tf now [20,5/1,99=10.3]
Rounding to 13 keys.
Buyers at 10,5 - 11 keys, no other sellers here
https://i.imgur.com/xkLaMtM.png
3 sellers on mp.tf but all over the highest sale
https://i.imgur.com/I77qZBL.png
Lucky 13
Item history for the one you bought: https://backpack.tf/item/2899812653
Deposited to marketplace.tf but unsold: https://backpack.tf/item/4440446472
Other Marketplace.tf sale: https://backpack.tf/item/2687987312
Nothing serious, just adding these to make your suggestion more valid ;)