Price Suggestion
Aces High Horrific Headsplitter
Submitted by surz
~11 keys
aces
Unusual Horrific Headsplitter Aces High
80 votes up
4 votes down
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Comments

Right.


Sales

Sale 1: Sold for 9 keys~

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055472632#!/compare/1579737600/1600300800

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=291&q=5&ef=Aces%20High&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

https://gyazo.com/089f555c19a1b4a94a340bd2a7cbf743


Sale 2: Untrace/Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198953299555#!/compare/1598486400/1598572800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1598400000/1598486400


Sale 3: Probably added something for Strange Specialized Killstreak Australium Tomislav?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1593302400/1593388800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198953299555#!/compare/1593216000/1593388800

B/o was 9.5 keys~

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R06OPZ9


Sale 4: Sold for 11 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1600560000/1600732800

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ0OL702


Other exchanges with scrap and stn.

https://backpack.tf/item/7956014962

https://backpack.tf/item/7956561881


Marketplace

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/291;5;u59

July

$21.11 on July 27 (21.11/1.92 = 11~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-27

22 on July 30 (22/1.92 = 11~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-30


August

$20.99 on August 6 (20.99/1.85 = 11~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-06

23 on August 13 (23/1.84 = 12.5 rounding to 13 keys)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-13

11.3 on August 20 (11.3/1.79 = 6.31 rounding to 6.5 keys)


Classifieds

https://gyazo.com/28117eae274058da38a727aec9cf2732


Summary

Sales at 9 and 11. Unconfirmed buyout at 9.5.

Marketplace sales at 6.5, 11, 11, 11, and 13.


Conclusion

Excluding 6.5, 9 and 9.5 due to buyers.

Excluding 13 as it seems higher than the other sales, and including it would make this a raise, and with 3 sales at lower that are being excluded, that does not seem like the best choice.

Going with 11 here.

    Just looking at past snapshots this seems high, even if the buyers have gone up, tons of sellers in the 9 - 9.5 range throughout July.

    https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EP37JKD

    https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4P06OJNE

    Your sale at 9 is an untracable bot.tf sale, so better to look through the sellers in the above snapshots to find more sales. Once you have done that, this should prolly be 9 - 11.

      Buyers are up to 10 now, and are even higher on the scm. Given that the 9 sales are all pretty old, (July) I am going to accept this.