I dont have acces to any Bot.tf stats since im not a paying member of that website. If someone has access to it uploading the stats would be appreciated!
The sales figures from the steam community market have reached 0.03 euro (lowest amount possible). Marketplace.tf sales are floating around 0.01 and 0.02.
Current key prices are 1.85 - 1.90 on marketplace.tf and the key to refined is floating as of 25-9-2020 around the buy orders 43 - 44.
1.87 / 43.55 = roughly 0,0429 USD per refined
or 0,00477 USD per Scrap
0.02 USD * 0,00477 USD = 4.19 scrap or rounded down to 4 scrap.
Current buying and selling prices are around 0.11 and 0.22 refined on sites like bazaar and backpack.tf classifieds.
Also, the current selling price of Scrap,tf is 0.33 refined and buying price on there is 0.11 ref.
The evidence points to a lowest price of 0.11 refined per case and 0.33 at most (disregarding the outlying marketplace.tf's 0.02 USD (4 scrap) price.
So simply said 0.11 - 0.33 should be the currently suggested price.
p.s. Send me any feedback so i can improve my price suggestions in the future.
I think the problem here is that it is just declining in value too fast -- too many auto idler and freebie distributions.
This was accurate two days ago I'm sure, but now it's more like 0.11-0.11 or 0.11-0.22. Then in another several days or week it'll be 0.05-0.11, etc.
That is a good argument, but it seems that the cases have finally gotten a semi-stable price (0.11 - 0.22 on backpack.tf). The price wont really go down that 10 ref anymore like it used to when it was released. It has almost been a month since release and over the course the last 7 days the price has not changed. Like on backpack.tf they are still selling at 0.02 USD, also people are still buying and selling cases at 0.22.
Dont get me wrong, you are right about the declining value, but seeing the amount of time that has passed and the obeservations i have made, this case might be ready for it's first set price.
To be honnest i expect the price to be changed a like a 2-3 weeks to a month from now, because of the increase in quantity.
This is my first propper price suggestion, so please give me feedback on what i can do better. I want to be helpfull instead of... well... not helpfull
Yeah, I haven't voted up or down. You could also just say it sells 'easily' for 1 cent on marketplace.tf, and even 2 cents sometimes. So that'd clearly cover the 0.33.
I guess some of the CSGO case speculation has spilled over to TF2, so could be spot on about it never dropping to super low price (eg these other cases, in South Korea, could literally buy for like $0.0001 usd several months ago)
$0.0001 Dollars, dang I guess it is due to currency. The lowest in Euro countries is 0.03 euro.
anyways, CS-GO it's case dropping system is different so that allows it to have higher prices. In tf2 you have 10 hours playtime each week in which it is possible to get a weapon/case/cosmetic. This takes place in intervals of 30 to 70 minutes (50 minutes on average). so theoretically you would get about 12 items each week. Imagine thousands of players getting 12 items per week. So yea, items do get really common after a while, you are completely right about that.
Personally I hope that a Halloween and christmass case will drop. With this summer 2020 case i was able to break out of the 1 scrap profit stage. Also thanks to marketplace.tf. I hope that near the end of this year or beginning next year a new marketplace.tf with a sellers program will launch. Marketplace.tf gives a safe and instantly tradable and sometimes cheaper alternative for the steam community market. It definetly leaves big shoes to fill!
Price Quantity
₩ 4.62 500
₩ 4.65 252
Those are cheapest listings for Summer 2020 Case in South Korea right now. ₩ 4.62 is $0.003938 ...
Mayflower Cases were selling for ₩ 0.4 - ₩ 0.6 quite often, as of a few months ago. That's where you get to the $0.0004-$0.0005. To get 500 right now you'd have to pay an average of about ₩ 3.5. Yeah, the price in euros is a rip -- but this is why you will see scrap . tf with full supply of many of these low price items. e.g. some item that shows as 0.07 euro, the price will be 0.05 euro + 0.02 of local currency for other areas.
I wish they'd just convert everything to "Steambucks" (better name ofc). You could still have regional game discounts, but it'd even up the marketplace.
Yea. It is stupid too that steam doesnt publish thier daily exchange rate for the currencies, cuz they say in 1 of thier steam community market support pages that they have a daily exchange rate (they dont even have a link to it!)
/-| Proof |-\
Sales, buy and sell offers collected from Marketplace.tf, Steam community market, Backpack.tf and scrap.tf : https://imgur.com/a/9pkQj40
marketplace.tf sales: https://imgur.com/a/t9i3JS8
My Bought cases: https://imgur.com/a/PlQrUxB
Buying and selling price scrap.tf: https://imgur.com/a/XzgxCnm
I dont have acces to any Bot.tf stats since im not a paying member of that website. If someone has access to it uploading the stats would be appreciated!
The sales figures from the steam community market have reached 0.03 euro (lowest amount possible). Marketplace.tf sales are floating around 0.01 and 0.02.
Current key prices are 1.85 - 1.90 on marketplace.tf and the key to refined is floating as of 25-9-2020 around the buy orders 43 - 44.
1.87 / 43.55 = roughly 0,0429 USD per refined
or 0,00477 USD per Scrap
0.02 USD * 0,00477 USD = 4.19 scrap or rounded down to 4 scrap.
Current buying and selling prices are around 0.11 and 0.22 refined on sites like bazaar and backpack.tf classifieds.
Also, the current selling price of Scrap,tf is 0.33 refined and buying price on there is 0.11 ref.
The evidence points to a lowest price of 0.11 refined per case and 0.33 at most (disregarding the outlying marketplace.tf's 0.02 USD (4 scrap) price.
So simply said 0.11 - 0.33 should be the currently suggested price.
p.s. Send me any feedback so i can improve my price suggestions in the future.
I think the problem here is that it is just declining in value too fast -- too many auto idler and freebie distributions.
This was accurate two days ago I'm sure, but now it's more like 0.11-0.11 or 0.11-0.22. Then in another several days or week it'll be 0.05-0.11, etc.
That is a good argument, but it seems that the cases have finally gotten a semi-stable price (0.11 - 0.22 on backpack.tf). The price wont really go down that 10 ref anymore like it used to when it was released. It has almost been a month since release and over the course the last 7 days the price has not changed. Like on backpack.tf they are still selling at 0.02 USD, also people are still buying and selling cases at 0.22.
Dont get me wrong, you are right about the declining value, but seeing the amount of time that has passed and the obeservations i have made, this case might be ready for it's first set price.
To be honnest i expect the price to be changed a like a 2-3 weeks to a month from now, because of the increase in quantity.
This is my first propper price suggestion, so please give me feedback on what i can do better. I want to be helpfull instead of... well... not helpfull
Yeah, I haven't voted up or down. You could also just say it sells 'easily' for 1 cent on marketplace.tf, and even 2 cents sometimes. So that'd clearly cover the 0.33.
I guess some of the CSGO case speculation has spilled over to TF2, so could be spot on about it never dropping to super low price (eg these other cases, in South Korea, could literally buy for like $0.0001 usd several months ago)
$0.0001 Dollars, dang I guess it is due to currency. The lowest in Euro countries is 0.03 euro.
anyways, CS-GO it's case dropping system is different so that allows it to have higher prices. In tf2 you have 10 hours playtime each week in which it is possible to get a weapon/case/cosmetic. This takes place in intervals of 30 to 70 minutes (50 minutes on average). so theoretically you would get about 12 items each week. Imagine thousands of players getting 12 items per week. So yea, items do get really common after a while, you are completely right about that.
Personally I hope that a Halloween and christmass case will drop. With this summer 2020 case i was able to break out of the 1 scrap profit stage. Also thanks to marketplace.tf. I hope that near the end of this year or beginning next year a new marketplace.tf with a sellers program will launch. Marketplace.tf gives a safe and instantly tradable and sometimes cheaper alternative for the steam community market. It definetly leaves big shoes to fill!
Price Quantity
₩ 4.62 500
₩ 4.65 252
Those are cheapest listings for Summer 2020 Case in South Korea right now. ₩ 4.62 is $0.003938 ...
Mayflower Cases were selling for ₩ 0.4 - ₩ 0.6 quite often, as of a few months ago. That's where you get to the $0.0004-$0.0005. To get 500 right now you'd have to pay an average of about ₩ 3.5. Yeah, the price in euros is a rip -- but this is why you will see scrap . tf with full supply of many of these low price items. e.g. some item that shows as 0.07 euro, the price will be 0.05 euro + 0.02 of local currency for other areas.
I wish they'd just convert everything to "Steambucks" (better name ofc). You could still have regional game discounts, but it'd even up the marketplace.
Yea. It is stupid too that steam doesnt publish thier daily exchange rate for the currencies, cuz they say in 1 of thier steam community market support pages that they have a daily exchange rate (they dont even have a link to it!)