Sales

Sale 1: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198242124526#!/compare/1599868800/1600300800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271577665#!/compare/1599955200/1600041600

Sale 2: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106136210#!/compare/1594425600/1596153600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274797164#!/compare/1587513600/1596672000

Sale 3: Untrace/Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006295346#!/compare/1597968000/1598054400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1597968000/1598054400

Sale 4: Traced 5 keys~

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1597708800/1597795200

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9QDXLO6

Sale 5: Sold to a buyorder of 4 keys~

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198248461754#!/compare/1594598400/1594684800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1594598400/1594684800

Sale 6: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198865210316#!/compare/1594339200/1594512000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198248461754#!/compare/1594252800/1594339200

Marketplace

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1120;5;u3030

July

$6.75 on July 5 (6.75/1.99 = 3.4~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-05

9.99 on July 8 (9.99/1.99 = 5~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-08

August

$9.95 on August 13 (9.95/1.84 = 5.5~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-13

12.33 on August 15 (12.33/1.81 = 7~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-15

https://backpack.tf/item/5572313486

Listings during the time: https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4668LZK9

12.33 on August 25 (12.33/1.83 = 6.5~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-25

Classifieds

https://gyazo.com/ed3f556261379a720b6648ef006b6a51

Summary

Sales at 4 and 5.

Marketplace sales at 3.4, 5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.

Conclusion

3.4 and 4 are under buyers, excluding both.

Going with 5-7 here.