$27.26
0 sold recently
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4 year old price
Sold for 12 keys pure https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195731583#!/compare/1601337600/1601424000
Bot.tf stats:
No KS: https://imgur.com/5wno83b
1 bought at 9 keys 15 ref, 9.34 keys
Marketplace.tf sales taking past month:
No KS: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/228;14
September 18 2020: $22.65/$1.85=12.24 keys
Spec KS: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/228;14;kt-2
September 7 2020: $25/$1.83, 13.66 keys
SCM sales taking past month:
Basic KS: https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Collector%27s%20Killstreak%20Black%20Box
September 4 2020 3 AM: $21.71/$2.32=9.36 keys
Pro KS: https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Collector%27s%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Black%20Box
September 13 2020 11 PM: $40.25/$2.29, 17.58 keys
We have 9.34, 9.36, 12, 12.2, 12.24, 13.66 and 17.58
Excluding 17.58 because it's higher than unsolds at 15 keys and it's pro KS, most likely why it sold higher
Also excluding 13.66 since it's a Spec KS to tighten the range a bit
This leaves us with 9.34-12.24, median value: 10.79, rounding to the nearest 0.1 keys: 9.3-12.2
Buyers at/above your low end, dunno if that warrants change
it's still better than current, there's only one buyer at 9.64 and 9.34 rounds to 9.3
9.3-12.2 is better than 4 year old 5.4