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~75 keys
vivid
Unusual Rotation Sensation Vivid Plasma
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Comments

Nice one.


Sales

Sale 1: Sold for 40 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1601683200/1601769600

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YDPLDL2K


Sale 2: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1594425600/1594684800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044343775#!/compare/1586908800/1594684800

Could not find a buyout, was sold within a days time.


Sale 3: Untrace, to an itembot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115325995#!/compare/1594339200/1594425600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1594252800/1594339200


Sale 4: Sold for Smoking Killer Exclusive (30 keys)+ 7 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006781839#!/compare/1598918400/1599264000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035463839#!/compare/1599264000/1600041600

30 + 7 = 37 keys

Buyout was 38 keys.

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ0KKP01


Killer's Exclusive: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f79612f4f45704e6f0ee926


Sale 5: Sold for 29 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198796395930#!/compare/1598659200/1598832000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006781839#!/compare/1598659200/1598918400


Sale 6: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961010520#!/compare/1598400000/1598486400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198796395930#!/compare/1598400000/1598486400


Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30623;5;u16

July

59.95 on July 11 (59.95/1.99 = 30~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-11

59.59 on July 20 (59.59/1.95 = 31~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-20


Current Classifieds

https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Rotation%20Sensation/Tradable/Craftable/16

https://gyazo.com/371a95aa8631dfa80346e7c33b8631a3

Buyers up to 32 keys~.


Summary

Sales at 29, 37, and 40.

Marketplace sales at 30 and 31.


Conclusion

29, 30 and 31 are all under current buyers.

Going with 37-40 here.


Take it easy.

Are you sure it sold for 40? I see multiple sales that day and the buyer is unknown according to its history

https://backpack.tf/item/7096210146

    During the time when I checked the comparison, there were few sales that day, and obvious it was 40.

    Anyways, now since there are more sales I can see your point, so I confirmed with the seller: https://gyazo.com/4de1ffbdddfc9d8b05a7746967977df9

    (Thank you DedPolitex).

      Thanks for checking. Going to leave this one up to see if we can get more data, as more than half the sales are excluded on the same side of the range here