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Interesting one.
Sales
Sale 1: Sold for 8 keys, 10 refined
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1601596800/1601683200
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1116&q=5&ef=Infernal%20Flames&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script
https://gyazo.com/e1c9829e24e5997613ec5e00322d3ff6
This sale rounds to 8 keys~.
Sale 2: Sold for 7 keys, 30 refined
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340634356#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337378097#!/compare/1596153600/1596585600
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1116&q=5&ef=Infernal%20Flames&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script
https://gyazo.com/e1c9829e24e5997613ec5e00322d3ff6
This sale rounds to 7.5 keys~.
Sale 3: Sold for 6 keys, 16.22 refined
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337378097#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1116&q=5&ef=Infernal%20Flames&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script
https://gyazo.com/e1c9829e24e5997613ec5e00322d3ff6
This sale rounds to 6.5 keys~.
Marketplace sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1116;5;u3015
Nothing recent.
Other exchanges such as tradebacks, tradeit, scammers, and mannco.
https://backpack.tf/item/2712574567
https://backpack.tf/item/5181799282
Current Classifieds
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Taunt%3A%20I%20See%20You/Tradable/Craftable/3015
https://gyazo.com/9fe41fd0708a20e65cc1688a439d6dfa
Summary
Sales at 6.5, 7.5, and 8.
Conclusion
7.5 then resold for 6.5, however, that makes 2 sales at less, and it would not seem reasonable to include the higher sale and not include the lower ones. Since they're in close proximity, I'll include both here.
Going with 6.5-8 here.
Take it easy.
Normally I wouldn't include a sale to a buy order in the range here (6.5) but Bender's listings are stupidly outdated that I doubt it would of qsed at 6.5.
Also
https://backpack.tf/item/2829382902 - maybe a hidden history?
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4KVKNKL8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199052319732#!/compare/1600387200/1602115200 - sale at 6 keys 10.88 ref, ref was used to buy a key
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ0ZR000
Couple more likely sales at 7
2 more sales to bots as well. I think the range is gonna be a bit unbalanced. Basically sales at 5/5/6/6.5/7/7/7.5/8 assuming all the bots sold for their b/os and stuff so I would probably cut 8 and go 6 - 7.5.
That seems reasonable as many past sellers far below 8. Will resuggest, thanks!