Sales

Sale 1: Sold for Orbiting Fire Citizen Cane (18 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1601510400/1601683200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191107831#!/compare/1601510400/1601596800

Buyout was 20 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4K053J6N

Sale 2: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032300079#!/compare/1579651200/1597536000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1597449600/1597536000

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31069;5;u127

August

32 on August 15 (32/1.81 = 18~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-15

Listings during the time: https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9Q88RLN

39.95 on August 21 (39.95/1.79 = 22~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-21

25 on August 26 (25/1.84 = 14~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-08-26

October

39.99 on October 1 (39.99/1.84 = 22~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-10-01

N/A buyout: https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y7J63P0K

Current Classifieds

https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=El%20Zapateador&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=127&killstreak_tier=0

https://gyazo.com/8f88fb2a043db071b0b5c2eb2cc84169

Summary

Sales at 18.

Marketplace sales at 14, 18, and 22.

Conclusion

14 is below current buyers, excluding.

Past seller at 20, and current seller at 20, shows that 22 is a little high here.

Going with 18 here.

Take it easy.