Spooky scary

Sales

Sale 1: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056611335#!/compare/1597536000/1597622400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167149339#!/compare/1597449600/1597536000

Sale 2: Traced 4 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280524116#!/compare/1597190400/1597276800

Sale 3: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280524116#!/compare/1597363200/1597449600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029074524#!/compare/1597276800/1597363200

Sale 4: Untrace/Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267950243#!/compare/1599177600/1599609600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170043021#!/compare/1599091200/1599177600

Sale 5: Sold for 10 keys~

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170043021#!/compare/1599177600/1599091200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454615761#!/compare/1599091200/1599177600

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1114&q=5&ef=Ominous%20Night&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

https://gyazo.com/727e4c17422a4786887eecfa583fbb2a

Sale 6: Sold for 9 keys~

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454615761#!/compare/1599523200/1599609600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210598009#!/compare/1599264000/1599696000

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1114&q=5&ef=Ominous%20Night&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

https://gyazo.com/727e4c17422a4786887eecfa583fbb2a

Sale 7: Bought for 10 keys, then resold to another bot instantly, to a buyorder of 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210598009#!/compare/1599264000/1599696000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1599609600/1599696000

Buyorder of 9 keys~.

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGLQVNL2

Other exchanges with mptf.

https://backpack.tf/item/3880005910

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1114;5;u3022

July

24.75 on July 11 (24.75/1.99 = 12~)

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-11

Current Classifieds

https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Taunt:%20Spent%20Well%20Spirits&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=3022&killstreak_tier=0

https://gyazo.com/79e3f4d5bfa48eee60851ad1247b683c

Summary

Sales at 4, 9, 9, and 10.

Marketplace sales at 12.

Conclusion

4 is probably incomplete, and as such it's low, excluding.

There are current sellers, 2x at 9.69, and 1 at 10, showing that 10 and 12 are high outliers, excluding.

Going with 9 here.

Take it easy.