Sales used in previous suggestion are now outdated, time for an update!

Sales

Sale 1: Sold for 14 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1601856000/1602028800

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4K0R2JP8

Sale 2: Sold for 11 keys + 54.22 refined

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1596585600/1596672000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139665596#!/compare/1586908800/1596672000

Sale rounds to 12 keys~.

Sale 3: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284570728#!/compare/1595462400/1596067200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1595376000/1595462400

Buyorder was 10 keys~

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YD1WPKJV

Sale 4: Sold for Stormy Storm Trucker's Topper (14 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069569830#!/compare/1601510400/1601856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198418740133#!/compare/1601769600/1601856000

Trucker's Topper: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f7d5ecac4211022217868da

Sale 5: Sold for 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198396499936#!/compare/1597449600/1597536000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098004697#!/compare/1597536000/1597622400

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O9E827J

Sale 6: Doesnt appear to be a sale here

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098004697#!/compare/1597622400/1602028800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963673725#!/compare/1592956800/1597622400

Other exchanges, such as tradeit and unusual stn.tf

https://backpack.tf/item/772801440

https://backpack.tf/item/1126785323

https://backpack.tf/item/506974789

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/148;5;u30

Nothing recent.

Current Classifieds

https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Hotrod&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=30&killstreak_tier=0

https://gyazo.com/6634184a82e61560a87251eab3f652ed

Summary

Sales at 10, 12, 12, 14, and 14.

Conclusion

10 is under buyers, excluding as low outlier.

Going with 12-14 here.

Take it easy.