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https://backpack.tf/item/5009501250
Sold for 5 keys pure:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1600732800/1600819200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101793900#!/compare/1600732800/1600905600
Classified to prove it: https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4P0NW5O5
Marketplace.tf sale untraceable via compare links: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1119;5;u3027
July 23 2020: $12.99/1.92=6.77 keys ~7
Seller at 5 keys was listed at 4 keys 20 ref since May 5th https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y80W0Q9Z
They listed at 5 keys on August 21 then it took about a month to sell https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O9NX92Q
I think we can call 7 keys high here. Going with 5 flat
New sales:
https://backpack.tf/item/8233809166
Untraceable sale (the keys in buyer's compare don't match the taunt):
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198190567127#!/compare/1603152000/1603238400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113800058#!/compare/1603238400/1603324800
https://backpack.tf/item/5009501250
5 keys pure:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1600732800/1600819200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101793900#!/compare/1600732800/1600905600
The 5 key sale in your new sales is the same sale as your 5 in the main suggestion.
The untracable sale is 5 keys 21 ref as seen here:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113800058#!/compare/1603238400/1603324800
The pure was spend immediately for the GFetti Fragger, this is confirmed by Mockingbird (seller of the fragger) being in the history of the keys.
I agree 7 is high, 5 - 5.5 can work.