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Sales
Sale 1: Sold for 35 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1602547200/1602633600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198888868203#!/compare/1602633600/1603065600
Sale 2: Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198318170190#!/compare/1601510400/1602720000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1601596800/1601769600
Marketplace sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31080;5;u14
September
49.99 on September 9 (49.99/1.85 = 27~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-09-09
45 on September 11 (45/1.85 = 24~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-09-11
Current Classifieds
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Convict%20Cap&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=14&killstreak_tier=0
https://gyazo.com/08f3c53cf08db7a988389c0ed885a8b5
Summary
Sales at 35.
Marketplace sales at 24 and 27.
Conclusion
24 is obviously low as it's under buyers.
Going with 27-35 here.
Take it easy.