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Quick.
Sales
Sale 1: Sold for Harvest Moon Wraith Wrap (312.5 keys)
https://gyazo.com/68e55472e4d99dbab0dbd97308ec4fa4
https://backpack.tf/item/2038726214
312.5 rounding to 310 keys.
Other one does not appear to have a sale, also a duped version anyways.
https://backpack.tf/item/2045011593
Marketplace sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/174;5;u73
Nothing recent.
Current Classifieds
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Whoopee%20Cap&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=73&killstreak_tier=0
https://gyazo.com/98e1cf5b57b988b68bf8d3daf7df2a8c
Summary
Sales at 310.
Conclusion
Going with 310 here.
Take it easy.
Wouldn't it make more sense to list at 370 if you're relisting the wraith at 450? 370 was the most recent sale and the bp price is a bit misleading. Also Spellbound Whoopee caps are going for more with asking for 600 and buy orders of 350.
HM Wraith was recently updated at 312.5 . This is fine.