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resuggestion again..... bleh
paid $200, then sold for $325
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30007;5;u79 | https://backpack.tf/item/3134063953
200 / 1.88 = 106 keys
325 / 1.88 = 172.8, rounded to 173
Apparently 106 is a "quicksale" even tho 173 was a hella lucky sale, but meh, would have kept it if it were not for a stupid offer like that
taking 173 flat.... bleh
https://backpack.tf/item/3134063953 - new trades.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043902761#!/compare/1606003200/1606089600 it resold in huge overpay for a ps cosa. There are no other sales on that, so I suppose that can be used there. As such, it's not a definitive cause to call 173 an outlier, but it does imply it is very likely high.
I feel that all in all this vouches for a range here rather than a flat value, as there are indications that 106 is low and 173 is high. Normally I'd leave outdated, but in this case, desperate times call for desperate measures.