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sale #1 - untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088354121#!/compare/1597622400/1597708800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198419584303#!/compare/1597622400/1597708800
sale #2 - untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198419584303#!/compare/1597622400/1597708800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1597622400/1597708800
sale #3 - 9 keys
https://gyazo.com/2b59ddf9f0d3de737b20018f54ab2ca4
sale #4 - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30034;5;u36;strange | https://backpack.tf/item/9099715884
24.99 / 1.87 = 13.3, rounded to 13
mp buyer @ 18$, excluding 9 keys - https://gyazo.com/fdb52477bbe27c15e379a670a4e189f4
taking 13 keys flat
Seems like it took quicksellstore a significant amount of time to sell for 9, so Im not so sure excluding that is a good idea, especially since it is very likely that their purchase would have been even lower.
I cannot find any current buyers on either marketplace or bptf - its hard to verify how long the mentioned buyer has been there on mp. Based on what I see here I think 13 flat is going to be too high here; I would prefer a range or a third sale.