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Sale #1
My sale:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140584551#!/compare/1603670400/1603756800
Brought Disco Beat Down Slo-Poke (31.5 Keys) + Death at Dusk Tartan Spartan (39.5 Keys) for my Stormy Storm Killer Exclusive (71 Keys) [Needs mini].
Sale #2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195602342#!/compare/1601856000/1602028800
Bulk sales.
Sale #3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176593866#!/compare/1601856000/1601942400
Sale for 29 Keys, excluding quicksell.
Marketplace sales
65.99/1.9(Jul 31)= 35 Keys [No sale stats on mp.tf for July 31st, took the Aug 2nd instead, since its not too far]
65.99/1.85(Aug 10) = 36 Keys
59/1.85 (Oct 5)= 32 Keys
59/1.87(Oct 19) = 31 Keys
I didn't find anymore sales.
Summary
Sales at 31 Keys
31.5 Keys
32 Keys
35 Keys
36 Keys
Conclusion
I'd suggest a price around 31-36 Keys (average of 33.5 Keys can be rounded to 34 Keys).
For Sale 1, that sale is bulk. You cannot use it here, as it doesn't make up a significant portion of the trade, and you haven't proven otherwise, either.
Both sides of Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195602342#!/compare/1603584000/1603756800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140584551#!/compare/1603670400/1603756800
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176593866#!/compare/1601856000/1601942400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195602342#!/compare/1601856000/1602028800
More sales (note that these were missed because you do not have premium search, which isn't really your fault):
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140584551#!/compare/1603756800/1604102400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057696126#!/compare/1604016000/1604102400
Bulk (D@D Tartan also involved)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057897812#!/compare/1596412800/1596499200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198879945899#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800
sold for ~22 keys? likely more involved...
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198879945899#!/compare/1598918400/1599004800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127045035#!/compare/1598918400/1599004800
Sold for ~34 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/7956849113
^ history for the Oct 5 MPTF sale.
Note that for MPTf sales, you should do your best to try and find the history relating
some of your MPTF sales are slightly off:
$65.99 / $1.92 = 34.37 keys <-- July 31st
$59 / $1.87 = 31.55 keys <--- Oct 19
So your sales are now:
29, 32, 32, 34, 34, 36 keys
considering that:
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M07X9O0V
you were listed for 35, and when you sold:
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4K060718
the buyer relisted for 32 keys.
with buyers at ~27 keys,
taking 32 - 34 keys is the call here.
I had some new sales recently like you said on the Sale #2 about the premium.
D@D tartan + DBD Slo-poke + C. Heart Baker boy + Static Mist taunt Battin taunt for a B. Flames Tyrolean.
Also regarding the marketplace sales, how did you come up with $1.92 key price on July 31st? Since there's no history on that specific date, so i took the key price of the next dates instead. Also, 31.55 Keys on Oct 19, i rounded to the nearest Key making it 32 keys according to the rules, so taking 31.5 good here?
https://backpack.tf/item/7956849113 - Like this, I couldn't find any other hat history to make a suggestion like you had here. Since none of them were for sale, my hat was alone, so i made a suggestion with my hats history and marketplace.
Thanks for the more details, i guess i need to make a new one again with more of these data.
There is a site called manic.tf that tracks the average price of keys. You can use that to find the price of keys on a certain date. There is also an extension that you can install onto your browser that will link you to the specific page of that day in MPTF.
I'm not sure what you mean by using the sale as 31.5.
And yes, you do have to remake it, but simply copy paste your info and my info, format it well, and set the range to 32 - 34 keys.
I remember the rules for unusuals above 10 keys that was mentioned to round to the nearest whole key. So i rounded the 31.5 Key sale to 32 Keys on the Oct 19 marketplace sale.
ah, i see.
Yes, you would round to 32.
Thanks, i will make a new one soon. See you there!