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Resuggest to fix decimals
Mini for another suggestion, though I haven't done a suggestion in years so feedback would be helpful
Sale 1:
Looks like it was bought for 14 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007479478#!/compare/1601251200/1601337600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141840452#!/compare/1601251200/1601337600
Sale 2:
Marketplace sale
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31115;5;u152
Sold for 23/1.82 (avg key price at time) = 12.6, rounding to 13
Sale 3:
Bulk for a Cauldron Bubbles Hat With No Name (https://backpack.tf/item/562188566)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087761315#!/compare/1600992000/1601078400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1600905600/1600992000
Sale 4: https://backpack.tf/item/9147424924
Untraceable, looks like a deposit to marketplace.tf, but owner has changed with no record of sale, as it was deposited on sept 7th, but only recorded sale is sept 2nd
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971174166#!/compare/1599436800/1599523200
So the usable sales I can see without premium are 13 and 14 (Any additional sales would be helpful), so going with 13 - 14 keys for now
Additional traceable sale since my suggestion
Item: https://backpack.tf/item/9158318190
Sale 1:
Bought from quicksell.store
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1607644800/1607731200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198880247893#!/compare/1607558400/1607731200
Looks like person traded in a smoking tam o shanter, steaming tough stuff muffs and some hats for the headgear and 12 keys + 16 ref, however bot was selling the headgear at ~13.5 at time (see https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y96VDOK6) so taking as 13.5 keys which fits the original range
Sale 2:
bulk sale, Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062747535#!/compare/1606867200/1606953600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1606867200/1606953600
Looks like bulk quicksell to quicksell.store with a Kill-a-Watt Armored Authority(https://backpack.tf/item/2002493625) and a orbiting fire bubble pipe(https://backpack.tf/item/1856738820), untraceable
Sale 3:
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062747535#!/compare/1606780800/1606867200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349986297#!/compare/1606780800/1606867200
Sale 4:
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064149144#!/compare/1606694400/1606780800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349986297#!/compare/1606694400/1606780800
Other sales in this items history are a trade back and forth from the tftrade.ru site and a banned user in the same day, so untraceable none the less
So only usable sale is one at 13.5 from the first sale, which fits the original range
New mp sale at $32.95 / $1.85 (using week key price average) = 17.81 keys, looks like a high outlier
For the 13.5 sale, the tam and muffs need minis to see make sure that sale caps at the 13.5 buyout.
Tam mini: $17 / $1.88 = 9.04 keys (x2) https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/480;5;u35
No usable mini on the muffs, buyers at 16, so 9 + 16 = 25, 25 - 12.25 = 12.75, as long as the muffs is worth around a key more than buy orders the sale caps at the 13.5 b/o.
The 14 sale involved a scammer alt so that can't be used, but with this new sale the suggestion is fine.