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2 year old price
https://backpack.tf/item/400937885
Mannco.trade to Mannco.trade
https://backpack.tf/item/247451727
Marketplace.tf sale in October (can't trace which one)
5.22 ref matches, most likely sold to a buy order
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087562051#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800
(Couldn't trace the buy order because Bot.tf snapshots don't work for this item)
Marketplace.tf sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/314;5;u7
August 22: $14/1.81=7.73 keys ~7.5
September 28: $15.99/1.85=8.64 keys ~8.5
October 23: $15.99/1.87=8.55 keys ~8.5
October 24: $15/1.85=8.11 keys ~8
We have a qs, 7.5, 8, 8.5 and 8.5
Can't trace which sale was dumped afterwards so including everything (if it was 8.5 there's still an other 8.5 sale to support it)
Seller at 8 keys is young so including 8.5
Going 7.5-8.5
Update: Seller at 8 keys is gone