Mini for Scorching Flames Pencil Pusher

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/280529461

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057897812#!/compare/1600732800/1600819200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013245606#!/compare/1600732800/1600819200

Sold for:

Energy Orb Professional Killstreak Shell Shocker Rocket Launcher (Field-Tested)

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Eyelander - https://prnt.sc/virvds - taking 64 keys

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Scattergun - https://prnt.sc/virvms - taking 52.8 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YD12X76R - buyout of 350 keys

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Mini for Scorching Flames Mining Light

Energy Orb Shell Shocker RL FT

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/5255895098

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013245606#!/compare/1600732800/1600819200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057897812#!/compare/1600732800/1600819200

Sold alongside:

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Eyelander

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Scattergun

for

Scorching Flames Mining Light

Hopefully using there

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057897812#!/compare/1600819200/1600905600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032656960#!/compare/1600819200/1600905600

Sold for:

Vivid Plasma Master's Yellow Belt - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5faee204787c0e03a372ebc9 - 151 keys

Abyssal Aura Cool Capuchon - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5faede9fd57b61543632ce1b - 24.5 keys

52 keys

151 + 24.5 + 52 = 227.5 keys

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032656960#!/compare/1604102400/1604966400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199001949552#!/compare/1604880000/1604966400

Sold for:

DUPED Chiroptera Venenata Napper's Respite

Something Burning This Way Comes Bolted Birdcage - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fb683d71bf51630c3058c12 - 140 keys

55 keys

https://prnt.sc/vm7zbv - buyout was 400 then raised to 600

https://prnt.sc/vm830w - confirmation from gg that buyout ended up being 400 keys

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Mini for DUPED CV Napper's

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/2063927280

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054198170#!/compare/1601424000/1601856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199001949552#!/compare/1601683200/1601769600

https://prnt.sc/vivoa6 - buyout of 225 keys

Sold for:

Burning Flames Melted Mop - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5faf15ae78d2012d89777b94 - 59 keys

Blizzardy Storm Private Eye - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5faf18b85cf5e3333b20d5cc - 17 keys

Flaming Lantern Buccaneer's Bicorne - no recent sales, there was one in July on Marketplace for 59.99, idk how no one picked up on that ;-;

Collector's Professional Killstreak Rainblower - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5faf1b00abd09420a5093605 - 11.85 keys

Specialized Killstreak Warhawk Rocket Launcher (Factory New) - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fb684f8fa32a56ce3421be3 - 36.5 keys

Strange Professional Killstreak Gold Botkiller Wrench Mk.I - see below - taking 13 keys as a mini

Collector's Wrangler - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fb4452dcd68716898491556 - taking 10 keys

Mini for Strange Pro KS Gold Botkiller Wrench Mk. I

https://prnt.sc/vm7upg - bot seller at 13 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/804;11;kt-3

Sep 26th - $24.99 / $1.85 = 13.51 keys

Oct 23rd - $25.99 / $1.87 = 13.90 keys

Taking 13 keys as it's value here

Maths time!

59 + 17 + 11.85 + 36.5 + 13 + 10 = 147.35 keys w/o the Flaming Lantern Bicorne

This is beyond scuffed...

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Alright this is how I am going to deal with this sale:

Considering that the DUPED CV Napper's cannot confidently be priced due to the Flaming Lantern Bicorne hypothetically making up about 15% of the trade

I think it is safe to say that the overall sale on the Energy Orb Shell Shocker RL for the SBTWC Bolted Birdcage, DUPED CV Nappers and the 55 pure is likely above 300 keys

Alongside the other 227.5 key sale, this places the median somewhere around 250 keys minimum, a value I'm sort of okay taking considering that is the outdated price on the RL from 6 months ago.

With all that being said, this means with some maths:

250 + 64 + 52.8 = 366.8 keys

Capping at the 350 key buyout that Evil Root had so I will take 350 here ;-;

I hope that's clear enough and makes enough sense. Mods, feel free to let me know in the comments or on discord.

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Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013245606#!/compare/1601337600/1601769600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136551541#!/compare/1601683200/1601769600

Sold for:

Sunbeams Ritzy Rick's Hair Fixative

Disco Beat Down Ritzy Rick's Hair Fixative - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fb68ca9ea129738ab3e656d - 65 keys

https://prnt.sc/vm8oy6 - confirmation it was a 2 for 1 from jaggu here, thanks

Waiting for confirmation from TinTin about his purchase

Regardless, it looks low since the compare showed ~123 keys matching or so

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136551541#!/compare/1601769600/1601856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033378852#!/compare/1601769600/1601856000

Sold for Burning Flames Tough Stuff Muffs

Thanks Lemonade - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f86091471c1f7446d46ed4c - taking 312.5 keys

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033378852#!/compare/1602201600/1602460800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035464165#!/compare/1602288000/1602374400

Sold for DUPED Cloudy Moon Le Party Phantom

Taking 280 keys, see below for reasoning

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Mini for DUPED Cmoon Le Party

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/549168259

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035464165#!/compare/1602288000/1602374400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033378852#!/compare/1602201600/1602460800

Sold for SF Mining Light, using there

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/563167335

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203811797#!/compare/1600819200/1600905600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033378852#!/compare/1600819200/1600905600

Sold for:

Bubbling Exquisite Rack - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f817e6648d73f77637671a8 - taking 100 keys, this has not hyped as much as others

Burning Flames Détective Noir - only one usable sale which is from marketplace:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/319;5;u13

Oct 16th - $179.99 / $1.88 = 95.74 keys

Waiting on mod response for how to deal with that suggestion itself, but taking 96 for now

Nether Trail Death Racer's Helmet - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f971e97da86a461db728962 - taking 54.5 keys here

Enchanted Taunt: Runner's Rhythm - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fb69515d619e93de17ccfdf - 22 keys

Double Spelled Vintage Professional Killstreak Gunslinger - no mini available, sellers are at 15 keys to 30 keys

Sinister Staining Summer Shades - taking 3.5 keys

100 + 96 + 54.5 + 22 + 3.5 = 276

Rounding up to 280 keys here, bit messy considering no available mini on the Double Spelled Vintage Pro KS Gunslinger but base price is 4 keys on it

Taking 280 as value of the DUPED CMoon Le Party is laughable regardless but it is a sale

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Mini for Double Spelled Vintage Pro Ks Gunslinger

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/127441164

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061921663#!/compare/1600646400/1602115200

Bought off SCM, untrace

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061921663#!/compare/1603411200/1605571200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087175689#!/compare/1605484800/1605571200

Bulk

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087175689#!/compare/1605484800/1605571200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087175689#!/compare/1605484800/1605571200

Also bulk

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/126523377

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001812215#!/compare/1599436800/1599523200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121555078#!/compare/1597968000/1599609600

Bought off SCM, also untrace :D

Cool. no usable sales, no mini

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Mini for Sinister Staining Summer Shades

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/353545747

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033378852#!/compare/1600819200/1600905600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203811797#!/compare/1600819200/1600905600

Bulk for DUPED CMoon Le Party

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203811797#!/compare/1603065600/1603238400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309034307#!/compare/1602979200/1603065600

3 keys match

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309034307#!/compare/1603152000/1603238400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993819952#!/compare/1602979200/1603238400

Sold for 4 keys

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993819952#!/compare/1603411200/1603497600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050726553#!/compare/1603324800/1603411200

Untrace

Sales

3, 4 keys

Taking 3 to 4 keys here

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Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035464165#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800

Sold for DUPED Flaming Lantern Bonk Boy, might have been more involved, excluding, would be low otherwise

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1602633600/1602720000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141382684#!/compare/1602547200/1602720000

114 keys match?

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4J59EKKV - buyout of 399 keys

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/274980387

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972681076#!/compare/1602028800/1602201600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079764636#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800

Sold on SCM

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Mining%20Light

https://prnt.sc/vis277 - ss of mining light sale

https://prnt.sc/vis2pr - ss of keys

Oct 11th - $575 / $2.27 = 253.30 keys

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/448084170

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079040993#!/compare/1600300800/1600387200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037099955#!/compare/1600128000/1600387200

Sold for 287 keys

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037099955#!/compare/1601510400/1601769600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1601683200/1601769600

Sold alongside DUPED Sunbeams Le Party for Scorching Flames Pencil Pusher

Hopefully using on the Pencil Pusher

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1604966400/1605052800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1604966400/1605052800

Bulk for Bonzo TC

Sales

350, 312.5, 280, 253, 287

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/vmafy8

Sellers at ~500 keys

Buyers are at 237 keys

Honestly, I guess a raise of 100 keys by going 250 to 350 really isn't too bad of a range

Shoot, going with 250 - 350 keys here lol