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https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30006;5;u17
Oct 2 - $104.94 / $1.89 = 55.52 keys
Oct 6 - $89.99 / $1.87 = 48.12 keys
Oct 11 - $97.99 / $1.89 = 51.85 keys
Oct 20 - $97.99 / $1.85 = 52.97 keys
Oct 31 - $79.99 / $1.82 = 43.95 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/8273442852
https://backpack.tf/item/6680016901
//
https://mannco.store/item/6586
Sep 19 - $80.00 / $1.65 = 48.48 keys
Oct 31 - $102.49 / $1.64 = 62.49 keys
Nov 5 - $83.00 / $1.57 = 52.87 keys
Nov 12 - $83.00 / $1.63 = 50.92 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/7457614350
//
https://backpack.tf/item/8010190090
Unsold between main and bot for over a year
https://gyazo.com/7a6f5969f3f85d1d94a3563e804ae237
https://backpack.tf/item/6946054395
Unsold on stn.tf for 59 keys for 3 months
//
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012537041#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198864760524#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198864760524#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037434271#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037434271#!/compare/1602633600/1602720000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020281713#!/compare/1602633600/1602720000
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020281713#!/compare/1602806400/1602892800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058323007#!/compare/1602633600/1602720000
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058323007#!/compare/1602892800/1602979200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850003649#!/compare/1602806400/1602979200
Untraceable but I think it's possible that the Noble was sold to Zol (keys come from Zol) and then bought by the 2nd compare before it was registered...?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850003649#!/compare/1603238400/1603756800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1603670400/1603756800
27 keys to buy order
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1603670400/1603756800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047861348#!/compare/1603756800/1604275200
This is the October 31 Marketplace sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191234989#!/compare/1604966400/1605225600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199019427074#!/compare/1605139200/1605225600
38 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199019427074#!/compare/1605225600/1605312000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076222707#!/compare/1605139200/1605225600
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076222707#!/compare/1605312000/1605398400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355192150#!/compare/1605312000/1605398400
Untraceable
//
Buyers
https://gyazo.com/825a0e7083d7f2de53b3b991aa70613c
38 keys
Sellers https://gyazo.com/7567b148fb7523c27c95a84bd689f067
51 keys https://backpack.tf/item/7457614350
80 keys https://backpack.tf/item/8010190090
Sales:
27
38
44
48
48
51
52
53
53
56
62
I also got this offered to me for my Miami Nights Killer Exclusive listed at a buyout of 51 keys
https://gyazo.com/e0515f402b7e65c3bd6c78055612924a
https://gyazo.com/a4807c966fa8a8321985c8ef2701359c
So that user is willing to take a 50 key item for this unusual
62 on mannco.store sold at the same time as this item selling commonly on MP for 44-53
the 56 key sale is $104.94 on marketplace, and has sold 4 times under that price point afterwards
the 62 key sale is $102.49 on mannco.store, and has sold 2 times under that price point afterwards
going with 44-53 keys
its moving
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1606780800/1606867200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346618977#!/compare/1606694400/1606867200
Strange Cool Bamboo Brushed Sniper Rifle (Battle Scarred)
high outlier wtf
then they sold it to qs.store
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346618977#!/compare/1606694400/1606867200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1606780800/1606867200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355192150#!/compare/1606694400/1606953600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262537257#!/compare/1606867200/1606953600
everything leaving 2nd compare, which is
Kill-a-Watt Respectless Rubber Glove - 10 key buyers https://gyazo.com/0c2077bf14431c81ceabf67c908d2750
Cloud 9 Cotton Head - 26 key buyers https://gyazo.com/d7c8d73eb897d07a4f458335b096b92e
like 1 key of sweets and 1 key pure
sellers on the cotton head are 3 keys above buyers
glove reselling for 11 keys
so the max this trade could be is like 42 keys
and the buyout was 41 keys
also, the user was quickselling it since the suggestion went up
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4PVWGDVZ https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5O6LPP2 https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EZQX60K
41 could be in the range, but lets see what happens with other current sellers
https://gyazo.com/69d138874a368dfb7dfd3a6b7a45888c
This should be fine as a conservative drop