I like Trails

Dinosaur tracks.

Sellers: - https://gyazo.com/7ab31e533449f09df9ea99da875b49d2

https://backpack.tf/item/8894214653 - 2 days @ 90 keys

Taking last 2 months

Sale 1)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296967233#!/compare/1606089600/1606867200

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30704;5;u104 https://backpack.tf/item/9214491682

$150 / $1.76 = 85 keys

No buyout traced

Sale 2)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014600788#!/compare/1602460800/1602979200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007992575#!/compare/1602892800/1603238400 - Bulk

Sale 3)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126887938#!/compare/1606435200/1606521600 - Untrace

Sale 4)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341453773#!/compare/1606089600/1606176000 - Bulk

Sale 5)

https://backpack.tf/item/8894214653 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30704;5;u104

$135.54 / $1.88 = 72 keys

No buyout traced

Sale 6)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1606608000/1606694400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154906486#!/compare/1606608000/1606694400 - Likely sold for 88 keys + 28 ref (~0.47 keys as Keys were ~59 ref) - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4J52DR3P - compare shows 78 keys so 8 keys spent instantly. 78 is buyer's price so it wouldn't have sold for that

Sale 7)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122324751#!/compare/1605484800/1606435200 - Sold via buy order, likely for ~85 keys https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLL1RQN8

Sale 8)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1603411200/1603497600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133747379#!/compare/1603238400/1603497600 - Sold for 93 keys - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M07708KZ

Sale 9)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1602720000/1602806400 - Sold with a Purple Energy Swagman's Swatter for Keys I'm guessing. Likely ~87 keys https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQG0Z733

Sale 10)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1602720000/1602806400 - Bulk

Note:

https://backpack.tf/item/8540747818 - Phoenix --> Sunjar is Bot --> Owner transfer, not including here

Sale 11)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010637145#!/compare/1602547200/1602633600 - Sold via buy order, for ~87 keys https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4K0VOJLN

Sale 12)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045214440#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010637145#!/compare/1602460800/1602547200 - Sold for 76 keys, incomplete since buyers were higher at the time - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y7J9GRVK

Sale 13)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1602201600/1602288000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045214440#!/compare/1602028800/1602288000 - Sold for 89 keys

Sale 14)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1601510400/1601769600 - Untrace, likely sold to someone then to Quicksell.store

Sale 15)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1603152000/1603238400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055561981#!/compare/1603238400/1603670400 - Sold for 93 keys, https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXEEW0K8

Sale 16)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080935708#!/compare/1602892800/1602979200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1602892800/1602979200 - Sold to a buy order for 87 keys + minimal ref

Sale 17)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198993238861#!/compare/1602806400/1602979200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080935708#!/compare/1602892800/1602979200 - No mini on the PE Crabe

No buyout traced

Sale 18)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198993238861#!/compare/1602460800/1602720000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1602633600/1602720000 - Sold with 15 keys + minimal ref for a Tesla Coil Neckwear Headwear + a Strange Festivized Professional Killstreak Australium Tomislav (~32 at the time (non-festive but shouldn't make much difference) https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4209JPGG ) + Strange Specialized Killstreak Australium Ambassador (~11.5 keys at time https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4PV0Z1N0 ) + a Strange Professional Killstreak Atomizer (~3 keys at time https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MG5L3Z03 ) - Low as Neckwear isn't going to be above 50 due to unsold, making the sale work out ~80 or below. Beneath buyers

Buyout was 90 keys https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4PV02793 (25 ref is less than 0.5 keys)

Note:

https://backpack.tf/item/7615329551 - Ignoring the tradeback between Squiggles and Quicksell.store bots

Sale 19)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1603929600/1604016000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064469448#!/compare/1603929600/1604102400 - Untrace, possibly 93 keys https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4RDWX58K

Sale 20)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088975567#!/compare/1602806400/1602892800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1602892800/1602979200 - Sold via buy order for 87 keys

Sale 21)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1602806400/1602892800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088975567#!/compare/1602806400/1602892800 - Bulk

Note:

https://backpack.tf/item/7019450470 - Phoenix --> Sunjar is Bot --> Owner transfer, not including here

Sale 22)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137131429#!/compare/1602720000/1602806400 - Sold via buy order, likely for 87 keys https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MG5LO0LZ

Sale 23)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067903831#!/compare/1603065600/1603152000

https://backpack.tf/item/4539225018 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30704;5;u104

$180 / $1.85 = 97 keys

No buyout traced

Sale 24)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046163953#!/compare/1602460800/1602720000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198230995084#!/compare/1602720000/1602806400 - Untrace

Sale 25)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1605484800/1605571200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134940086#!/compare/1605571200/1605657600 - Sold for 72 keys, seems incomplete as buyout was 90 keys https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5ONOXG5

Sale 26)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1605312000/1605398400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199005286760#!/compare/1605312000/1605398400 - Sold via buy order for 85 keys

Sale 27)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199005286760#!/compare/1605139200/1605225600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062537014#!/compare/1605052800/1605225600 - Sold for a Purple Confetti Caribou Companion + a Vivid Plasma Kiss King + a Circling TF Logo Woolen Warmer + 31 keys - Supports high end but this would be better priced with pure sales, since 99% of them are full keys. Excluding but using as support as a high 90's sale

Buyout was 100 keys https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQGQR3G3

Sale 28)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062537014#!/compare/1604880000/1604966400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137934248#!/compare/1604880000/1604966400 - Sold for a Frostbite Powedered Practitioner (75) + 17 keys = 92 keys

Buyout was 100 keys https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WQNN3GX

Mini for Powdered:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137934248#!/compare/1604880000/1604966400 - Sold for 75 keys, instantly. Therefore they valued it at 75 keys here and were happy with a total of 92 for the Pullover.

Sale 29)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043625371#!/compare/1604448000/1604880000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137934248#!/compare/1604707200/1604880000 - Bulk

Sales 30 - 32)

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30704;5;u104

$160 / $1.88 = 85 keys

$180 / $1.83 = 98 keys

$150 / $1.76 = 85 keys

Sales:

72, 85, 85, 85, 88, 89, 92, 93, 93, 97 and 98

Likely/Buy order sales:

85, 85, 87, 87, 87, 87, 93 and high 90's.

72 a clear clear outlier here.

85 is very much supported.

Excluding 97, 98 and high 90's sale due to the sheer number of data points and previous buyouts at a lower (~85 key) value. The 97/98 marketplace.tf sales were likely buyout capped too, lower sales (such as 85 key sales) support them being high even on Marketplace.tf alone.

Unsold is young and fits the range here.

Thanks =)