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This unusual sold 3 times in the last month on marketplace.tf for 15.2-19.99USD so i believe that a fair price is 10-12 keys.
Proof : https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31112;5;u62
You need to divide each sale by the median key price of the day they sold. There are also more sales in these item histories that need to be checked via compare links: https://backpack.tf/item/9203223764 https://backpack.tf/item/9160148849 https://backpack.tf/item/9157148744 https://backpack.tf/item/9145328680
(if you don't know how to do compare links you can join our Discord server for help : https://discord.gg/j7cMkGF)
As mentioned above, the suggested range does not match with the sales you are using as evidence and there are other recent sales.
Take a look at this for reference:
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/6033-rules-for-unusual-price-suggestions/