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Backpack.tf Comparison:
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/item/7957543134
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094563021#!/compare/1603756800/1604275200
Bot.tf Snapshot:
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y30Z5VN6
https://imgur.com/a/LL0R96P
Approx Sold for 20 Keys
Marketplace.tf Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/397;5;u60
Sale 1:
40 USD divided by 1.82= 22 Keys
Taking Range of 20-22 Keys
Thanks
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4J565329
https://backpack.tf/item/7956116092 - seller at 20 keys (1 month)
since the sale at 20 is untraceable, it shouldn't be used here. luckily, there is a seller at 20 that can be used as the low-end instead so this should end up being fine.