Quick Mini for Cool FN Alien Tech Shotgun

32 active histories out of 56 in existence

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/9315102793

Sale 1

Nothing happened

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/9205993115

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062611175#!/compare/1602028800/1603411200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069967202#!/compare/1603238400/1603324800

Not unusualified

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069967202#!/compare/1603324800/1603411200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198829669573#!/compare/1603238400/1603324800

Sold to bot

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198829669573#!/compare/1603324800/1603411200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084651736#!/compare/1603065600/1603411200

Not unusualified

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/8191195495

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198804015732#!/compare/1603238400/1603324800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136954653#!/compare/1601164800/1605571200

Untrace

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/7624736753

Sale 6

Excluding sales to and from Scrap

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199020023412#!/compare/1601424000/1603065600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198421717954#!/compare/1601337600/1601424000

Not unusualified

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198421717954#!/compare/1601510400/1601596800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151229971#!/compare/1601510400/1601683200

Bought off bot and unusualified

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151229971#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178142529#!/compare/1602288000/1602460800

Bulk, untrace

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178142529#!/compare/1602460800/1603324800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151229971#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800

Was a trade back

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151229971#!/compare/1603238400/1603411200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107387164#!/compare/1603324800/1603411200

Untrace

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/7438844853

Sale 12

Bought off MP

Then probably unusualified I'm guessing

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/6790784661

Sale 13

Excluding sales from Scrap, not unusualified then

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077598622#!/compare/1602201600/1602288000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198194559879#!/compare/1602288000/1602547200

Sold on SCM

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/6599334154

Sale 15

Excluding sales from tradeit

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198371161070#!/compare/1602374400/1602547200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198370917213#!/compare/1580947200/1604880000

Untrace

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/5457354817

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127600487#!/compare/1603065600/1603238400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198441915077#!/compare/1603497600/1605398400

Untrace

Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/4451036250

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295466565#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994660517#!/compare/1601510400/1601683200

Unusualified

Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/4438094853

Sale 19

Excluding sales from Scrap, not unusualified

Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271111833#!/compare/1601596800/1601769600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199019099367#!/compare/1601510400/1601596800

Sold to bot, not unusualified

Sale 21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199019099367#!/compare/1601596800/1601683200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098963746#!/compare/1601424000/1601683200

Not unusualified

Sale 22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098963746#!/compare/1601424000/1601683200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185290847#!/compare/1576627200/1602201600

Unusualified

Item 11

https://backpack.tf/item/4380959934

Sale 23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098963746#!/compare/1601424000/1601683200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283702876#!/compare/1599955200/1602028800

Untrace, recently unusualified

Item 12

https://backpack.tf/item/4342804403

Sale 24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198371524119#!/compare/1600646400/1600732800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198873140319#!/compare/1600646400/1600732800

Not unusualified

Sale 25

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198873140319#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064411172#!/compare/1597017600/1604448000

Recently unusualified

Item 13

https://backpack.tf/item/3527508073

Sale 26

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198225445292#!/compare/1601510400/1601769600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198837007652#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400

Not unusualified

Sale 27

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198837007652#!/compare/1601596800/1601683200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071532710#!/compare/1592438400/1603324800

Bought off bot, then unusualified

Item 14

https://backpack.tf/item/3270461361

Sale 28

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061325470#!/compare/1601337600/1601596800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067189775#!/compare/1598832000/1601856000

Either bought off SCM, or unusualified

Item 15

https://backpack.tf/item/2820198733

Sale 29

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126705821#!/compare/1558224000/1602547200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126857412#!/compare/1602460800/1602547200

Untrace

Sale 30

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126857412#!/compare/1602547200/1602633600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198829669573#!/compare/1602547200/1602633600

Not unusualified

Sale 31

Sold on MP then unusualified

Item 16

https://backpack.tf/item/2631426660

Sale 32

Excluding sales from qs.store

Sale 33

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1601510400/1601683200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294596704#!/compare/1601942400/1602028800

Untrace

Item 17

https://backpack.tf/item/2586030961

Sale 34

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019617191#!/compare/1601251200/1601942400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096428902#!/compare/1600992000/1602028800

Untrace

Item 18

https://backpack.tf/item/2508466129

Sale 35

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963394917#!/compare/1602115200/1602201600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197997252702#!/compare/1602028800/1602288000

Untrace

Item 19

https://backpack.tf/item/2349998971

Sale 36

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198845896241#!/compare/1601510400/1601596800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198375673085#!/compare/1601424000/1601683200

Bought off bot then unusualified

Sale 37

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198375673085#!/compare/1603324800/1603411200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1603324800/1603411200

Bulk for Cool FN Alien Tech Shottie, using there

Sale 38

Transferred to bot

Sale 39

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311981931#!/compare/1603929600/1604016000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109011384#!/compare/1603929600/1604016000

Sale 40

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109011384#!/compare/1604016000/1604275200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044539598#!/compare/1604188800/1604275200

Sold alongside 4 keys for Veno Shock Square Dance, use there lmao

Sale 41

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044539598#!/compare/1604275200/1604707200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142644886#!/compare/1603584000/1605312000

Untrace

Item 20

https://backpack.tf/item/2121555185

Sale 42

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026953607#!/compare/1600214400/1602028800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1601942400/1602028800

Untrace, likely sold to Criminals buy order

Sale 43

Listed on MP

Item 21

https://backpack.tf/item/2015425287

Sale 44

Excluding sales to and from Scrap, not unusualified

Sale 45

Sold then unusualified

Item 22

https://backpack.tf/item/1868731182

Sale 46

Excluding sales to and from qs.store

Item 24

https://backpack.tf/item/1801916898

Sale 47

Bought off MP

Item 25

https://backpack.tf/item/1778097741

Sale 48

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260547606#!/compare/1601510400/1602547200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198282954733#!/compare/1601424000/1601510400

Not unusualified

Sale 49

Sold to Nexus again, I feel like this guy just hoarded taunts for the event lmao

Sale 50

Sold as unique then unusualified

Item 26

https://backpack.tf/item/1682771632

Sale 51

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972353065#!/compare/1601337600/1601424000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273136218#!/compare/1594684800/1605744000

Untrace

Item 27

https://backpack.tf/item/1553555362

Sale 52

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198995155361#!/compare/1602547200/1602633600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147121950#!/compare/1602460800/1602547200

Not unusualified

Sale 53

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147121950#!/compare/1604102400/1604188800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1604188800/1604275200

Got unusualified then used in a bulk trade

Sale 54

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1604534400/1604620800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017223477#!/compare/1604188800/1604620800

Sold for 10 keys!

First actual usable sale!!!!!!

Item 28

https://backpack.tf/item/1542813085

Sale 55

Not even a sake, just duped things

Item 29

https://backpack.tf/item/1414253380

Sale 56

Excluding sales to and form tradeit

Sale 57

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138677798#!/compare/1593302400/1600905600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197967157205#!/compare/1600646400/1601769600

Sold as unique then unusualified

Item 30

https://backpack.tf/item/1245073936

Sale 58

Excluding sales off tradeit

Item 31

https://backpack.tf/item/765933278

Sale 59

Bought off MP

Item 32

https://backpack.tf/item/518910463

Sale 60

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032384149#!/compare/1605312000/1605398400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050518375#!/compare/1605225600/1605312000

Sold for 10 keys!!!!!

2nd usable sale!!!

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/167;5;u3044

Oct 3rd - $55.56 / $1.85 = 30.03 keys

Oct 7th - $54 / $1.87 = 28.88 keys

Oct 9th - $44.59 / $1.87 = 23.84 keys

Oct 18th - $27.78 / $1.87 = 14.86 keys

Oct 22nd - $24.48 / $1.85 = 13.23 keys

Oct 24th - $23.51 / $1.85 = 12.71 keys

Oct 27th - $20 / $1.84 = 10.87 keys

Nov 4th - $28.46 / $1.80 = 15.81 keys

Nov 8th - $20 / $1.81 = 11.05 keys

Nov 13th - $34.99 / $1.77 = 19.77 keys

Nov 18th - $34.99 / $1.72 = 20.34 keys

Sales

10, 10, 30, 29, 24, 15, 13, 13, 11, 16, 11, 20, 20

Sales but ordered

10, 10, 11, 11, 13, 13, 15, 16, 20, 20, 24, 29, 30

Ty offline:

22 days at 18 https://gyazo.com/ec1c90f89cb38264b5e959ff677ba026

20 and above are high outliers, this is also shown by the fact that your 24, 29, 30 sales are the first three sales on the marketplace link, and every single sale after those has been under them

despite 20 twice being the two most recent sales, its quite convincing that above 20 is an outlier

which puts this item closer to 10-16 than it is 16-20+

ty xerg:

new mp sale at 11

$19.44 / $1.76 = 11.05 keys

Currently a seller at $23 and a seller at $24 on mp. I agree with Offline, the first 3 sales are hype sales that can likely be ignored. With the new mp sellers, I think 10 - 16 is the way to go now.

Running with 10 – 16 keys here