Resuggest due to many sale fixings - huge thank you to Scourge for pointing these out!

Mini for sparkling lights snowcapped - which is another mini for scorching flames california

Yes - too many minis...

Histories with in-date sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/9274534708 -> 1 sale

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073954578#!/compare/1601769600/1601856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1601769600/1601856000

Sold for 5k (excluding)

https://backpack.tf/item/9221716598 -> 2 sales (ignoring the sale between the banned accounts)

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124728984#!/compare/1601942400/1602115200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262422109#!/compare/1601942400/1602201600

Untraceable as to what it sold for...

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262422109#!/compare/1602460800/1602720000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1602460800/1602633600

Could only trace 7k

https://backpack.tf/item/9183806646 -> few sales

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382115458#!/compare/1599523200/1599696000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155066949#!/compare/1599523200/1599696000

Sold for 30k pure

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155066949#!/compare/1600214400/1600387200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198327943292#!/compare/1600300800/1600387200

Sold for a prismatica breach n bomb (with 40k so excluding as will be too high)

Sale #3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198327943292#!/compare/1601164800/1601424000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1601164800/1601424000

Sold for 12k pure (excluding as below b.o)

https://backpack.tf/item/9166214103 -> few sales

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198991570204#!/compare/NaN/1600473600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126625786#!/compare/1599264000/1603324800

Untraceable as to what it sold for...

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126625786#!/compare/1599264000/1603324800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150917840#!/compare/1603238400/1603497600

Untraceable as to what it sold for...

Sale #3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150917840#!/compare/1604188800/1604361600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1604188800/1604361600

Sold for 15k (excluding as at/slightly below b.o)

https://backpack.tf/item/9164681308 -> 1 sale

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198861215492#!/compare/1599177600/1599350400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1599177600/1599350400

1:1 for hot pro ks croc dusted knife (FT) - cant do mini for it

https://backpack.tf/item/9159719587 -> 1 sale

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066570624#!/compare/1599004800/1599177600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985384131#!/compare/1599004800/1599177600

Untraceable as to what it sold for...

https://backpack.tf/item/9150359752 -> several sales

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041186431#!/compare/1599004800/1599264000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195933333#!/compare/1599004800/1599177600

Sold to earth chan - likely for b.o or something

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195933333#!/compare/1599523200/1599696000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1599523200/1599696000

Sold for 19k

Sale #3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1599696000/1599955200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137934248#!/compare/1599782400/1600041600

Looks to be a 1:1 for a fifth dimension bat hat (25.5k)

Sale #4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137934248#!/compare/1600646400/1600819200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1600646400/1600819200

Traded up with 21k for a DBD head warmer (outdated - might do mini but ive done too many XD - if going by b.o -> 40 - 21k = 19k so it might fall into range anyway)

Sale #5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1600819200/1600992000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353722400#!/compare/1600905600/1601424000

Sold for 30k pure

Sale #6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353722400#!/compare/1602201600/1602979200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010637145#!/compare/1602288000/1602460800

Traded with 2 other unusuals for a prismatica smoker (likely exclude)

Sale #7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010637145#!/compare/1602374400/1602547200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928347702#!/compare/1602374400/1602547200

Untraceable as to what it sold for??

Sale #8 - #9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928347702#!/compare/1602547200/1602720000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116196570#!/compare/1602547200/1602720000

Might be transfers or something

https://backpack.tf/item/9150172021 -> few sales

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960533774#!/compare/1598486400/1599004800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174090699#!/compare/1598745600/1598918400

Sold for 37k pure (too high - excluding)

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174090699#!/compare/1599091200/1599264000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382115458#!/compare/1599091200/1599177600

Traced 11k (excluding as below b.o)

Sale #3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382115458#!/compare/1599091200/1599350400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1599091200/1599264000

Sold for roughly 18.5k (~19k)

https://backpack.tf/item/9141489789 -> 1 sale

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1599004800/1599264000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050745352#!/compare/1598918400/1599177600

Untraceable as to what it sold for...

Marketplace sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31112;5;u150

Oct 5th @ 54 / 1.85 = 29.18k (~29k)

Oct 27th @ 54.99 / 1.84 = 29.88k (~30k)

Possibly 27th history -> https://backpack.tf/item/9150172021

Total sales @

30k (x3)

19k (x3)

25.5k

29k

Due to many sellers at 29k that might be unsold for a while - likely capped at 29k

NEW information from Scourge:

new sales:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198369038536#!/compare/1606608000/1606953600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080935708#!/compare/1606521600/1606608000

Either 15 keys or Toy soldier

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31112;5;u150

$54.4 / $1.75 = 31.09 keys

=========

Sale 1 was for 21 keys, 17 were used to buy the Festive RL. buy orders at the time were 21:

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5OZ5822

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198327943292#!/compare/1601164800/1601424000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1601164800/1601424000

above sale was 25, not 12.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126625786#!/compare/1603324800/1605657600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150917840#!/compare/1604016000/1604102400

above sale was marked untrace, was for 18 keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150917840#!/compare/1604188800/1604361600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1604188800/1604275200

sale was marked as 15, is actually 22 keys (6 used to buy other hats)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066570624#!/compare/1599004800/1599177600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985384131#!/compare/1599004800/1599177600

sale was marked untrace, was for either the Scorching Missing or Aromatica Bauble.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262422109#!/compare/1602460800/1602547200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1602460800/1602547200

Sale marked 7 keys was actually for ~23 keys

so your total sales are now:

18, 19, 19, 19, 21, 22, 23, 25, 26, 29, 30, 30, 30, 31 keys

https://i.imgur.com/WlEjlAI.png

unsolds at 29 keys for ~1 month,

buyers have dropped to 15.

I'll agree with 29 being the high end based on sellers, but a small tightening of the range on the low end up to 21 is probably better.

Taking a brand new price range of 21-29k!