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Backpack.tf Comparison:
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/item/9522524488
Most Likely sold on SCM
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/item/9137655161
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964546925#!/compare/1602460800/1602547200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007479478#!/compare/1602460800/1602547200
Sold for 15 Keys
Marketplace.tf Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31115;5;u56
Sale 1:
60 divided by 1.83= 33 Keys
Sale 2:
45 USD divided by 1.85= 24 Keys
Taking Range of 15-24 Keys
Thanks
Normally I would be suspect of using the 2 lower sales and excluding the high sale with this amount of distance between the sales, but the scm sale is likely much lower. Looking at the scm graph, there isn't a sale that could support the high end between Dec 2nd and Dec 15th, which is the range where the sale happened
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Hazard%20Headgear
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353338634#!/compare/1606867200/1607212800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047946994#!/compare/1523491200/1607990400