https://backpack.tf/item/9072512391

untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1600732800/1600819200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198998706940#!/compare/1594512000/1602720000

https://backpack.tf/item/8111091476

untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199086429771#!/compare/1600646400/1600732800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199087007860#!/compare/1600646400/1601337600

untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199087007860#!/compare/1600646400/1601337600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204863571#!/compare/1600646400/1600732800

untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204863571#!/compare/1600732800/1600819200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199002006167#!/compare/1602460800/1607212800

untrace/bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199002006167#!/compare/1602460800/1607212800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199035016731#!/compare/1602288000/1602460800

untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199035016731#!/compare/1602460800/1602720000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800

untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1603065600/1603152000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198338797339#!/compare/1599436800/1603670400

looks like some kinda bot transfer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198338797339#!/compare/1603670400/1603843200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198420291109#!/compare/1602720000/1603929600

untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198420291109#!/compare/1603929600/1605225600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1603929600/1604016000

untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1607299200/1607385600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198405549513#!/compare/1607212800/1607385600

looks like 5 keys 2 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198405549513#!/compare/1607644800/1607731200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198405549513#!/compare/1607212800/1607385600

untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198405549513#!/compare/1607731200/1607817600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198400492976#!/compare/1607644800/1607731200

https://backpack.tf/item/7946934955

looks like this happened before the taunt was unusualified, then unusualified by the buyer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198980672568#!/compare/1600560000/1600646400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063162455#!/compare/1599264000/1601251200

https://backpack.tf/item/7373511021

untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311274291#!/compare/1604275200/1606521600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198410937263#!/compare/1606262400/1607299200

untrace/bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198410937263#!/compare/1605052800/1605657600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311241435#!/compare/1604880000/1605571200

https://backpack.tf/item/6744894761

untraceable (buyer is trade banned)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041552733#!/compare/1602633600/1604448000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017110065#!/compare/1604534400/1605052800

untraceable (seller is trade banned)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017110065#!/compare/1604534400/1605052800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204863571#!/compare/1604620800/1605052800

untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204863571#!/compare/1604620800/1605052800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255330701#!/compare/1593734400/1605139200

https://backpack.tf/item/3929664780

untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069565706#!/compare/1607817600/1607904000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1607817600/1607904000

https://backpack.tf/item/3003159302

bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090737788#!/compare/1606003200/1606176000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1606089600/1606176000

https://backpack.tf/item/2711674253 (duped)

untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112739180#!/compare/1552694400/1603238400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027738883#!/compare/1603324800/1603670400

Marketplace.tf sales all untraceable via histories https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1110;5;u3009

October 5: $12/1.85=6.49 ~6.5 keys

November 26: $13/1.75=7.43 ~7.5 keys

We have 5, 6.5 and 7.5

There's a full page of sellers at 6.56 keys so 7.5 is gonna be high.

There are generic buyers at 5.18 and 5.55 and a buyer for this effect at 6.03 so 5 is gonna be low

Gonna exclude a value from each end and go 6.5 flat. The median of these values being 6.33 which is closer to 6.5 than the other values makes it reasonable to price it at 6.5 too