Suggestion: Scorching Flames Hong Kong Cone at 260–325 keys

Circling Peace Sign Bear Necessities - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f79de6fca0a497c772e9309 - can't reprice this at the moment, but I shall take 26 as a mini value since it is the only sale traceable

Cloud 9 Ye Olde Baker Boy - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fde4b67e8db682b6455c8a2 - 20 keys

Cloud 9 Pom-Pommed Provocateur - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fde64b73754224fcc6707a9 - 11.5 keys

97 keys

105 + 58 + 26 + 20 + 11.5 + 97 = 317.5 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MN71W6PQ - buyout 320 keys

Taking 318 flat

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/9217731135

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075659290#!/compare/1603584000/1603756800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198896481#!/compare/1603497600/1603756800

Sold alongside 55 keys and ~10 keys in fabs for Arcana Bot Dogger, use there

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198896481#!/compare/1603756800/1603843200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093358538#!/compare/1603843200/1604102400

Sold for:

Orbiting Fire Hong Kong Cone - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fdf28bae4173221e15c9896 - 48 keys

DUPED Orbiting Fire Furious Fukaamigasa - 11 keys, see below for mini

Vexed Volcanics Cranial Carcharodon - taking 37 - 56 keys for it as a mini based off the 2 previous suggestions that Offline has done on it - 46.5 keys

Burning Flames Coldfront Commander - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fdf5532b9e4364a464a48ff - taking 80 keys, thanks Ace

Strange Scorching Flames Big Chief - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fdf39bb8e76ea70c43cb788 - 62.5 keys

Scorching Flames Gentleman's Ushanka - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fdf3b4ee9b84c26ea3ff508 - 88 keys

48 + 11 + 46.5 + 80 + 62.5 + 88 = 336 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXEPGPDP - buyout 300 keys

Capping at 300 keys

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mini for OFire Fuka

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/1330454149

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1603411200/1603497600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093358538#!/compare/1603238400/1603497600

33 items match and of those, 21 are keys

Excluding

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093358538#!/compare/1603843200/1604102400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198896481#!/compare/1603756800/1603843200

Bulk for SF HKC

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198896481#!/compare/1604016000/1604275200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1603929600/1604016000

Bulk sold for keys

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/452152508

Sale 4

Sold on MP

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/395;5;u33

Nov 15th - $29.9 / $1.78 = 16.80 keys

Dec 11th - $35.56 / $1.85 = 19.22 keys

Listings

Listings from 06/12/20

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/467ERP8Z

GMan is listed on MP

Zol for 13.5 keys

Listing from 15/11/20

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M1ZWDR1O

Merendas is the sale on Nov 15th

Sales

17, 19

Conclusion

I am typing out a conclusion for this one because it is being very quirky.

I don't see how I can raise this to 17 - 19 keys based off 2 extremely high marketplace sales

I could perhaps raise it to 13.5 keys given Zol's buyout on Dec 6th

Found the history that Zol had when he was listed on Dec 6th:

New history

https://backpack.tf/item/1984274151

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165810007#!/compare/1605744000/1605830400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1605744000/1605830400

12.22 ref matches

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXEVO1WP

Buy order was 11 keys 12.22 ref

Taking 11 keys here

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1608076800/1608163200

Leaves Zol's inventory

Untrace

Sales

11, 17, 19

Taking 11 as the mini and leaving the Fuka outdated for now

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/8639556321

Sale 7

Excluding sales to and from tradeit

Sale 8

Excluding sales to and from scammers

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/7955725625

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198426573533#!/compare/1603411200/1607126400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147796010#!/compare/1603324800/1604016000

Sold for 325 keys I think

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147796010#!/compare/1605657600/1605830400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1605744000/1605830400

Sold for 261 keys and some ref

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1606089600/1606176000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341453773#!/compare/1606089600/1606176000

Sold for:

DUPED Scorching Flames Scotsman's Stove Pipe - 85 keys, see below

DUPED Burning Flames Defiant Spartan - 76.5 keys, see below

Disco Beat Down Shooter's Sola Topi - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fdf58fb0af2301fda7f1cb9 - 11 keys

Strange Festivized Professional Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4PVDPQ8Z - 61 keys on the day

Strange Killstreak Shooting Star - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQGD92P3 - sellers at 12.5 keys, buyers at 11.8 keys

Wintery Wisp Taunt: The Fubar Fanfare - no mini, sellers at 10 keys, buyers at 4 keys

Cloud 9 Bonk Helm - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fdf6f15a580ce6f7e709b71 - 20 keys

Nether Void Taunt: Yeti Smash - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fdf7776bae98e5797605435 - 5 keys

Spellbound Aspect Shred Alert - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fdf7a375432204a0b58dd51 - 18.5 keys

Nether Trail Prehistoric Pullover - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fc830ee934b8121294f4f9b - 89 keys

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Grenade Launcher - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/46706ZQ2 - 31 keys

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Stickybomb Launcher - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M1Z59N21 - 35 keys

Ancient Eldritch Duck Billed Hatypus - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fdf87f317d9142f264ceab2 - 107 keys

8 keys

85 + 76.5 + 11 + 61 + 12.5 + 4 + 20 + 5 + 18.5 + 89 + 31 + 35 + 107 + 8 = 563.5 keys

Rounding to 564 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4K01WG81 - no buyout because it was on MP

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mini for DUPED SF Scotsman's Stove Pipe

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/219931082

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141054773#!/compare/1602892800/1602979200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198846276257#!/compare/1602892800/1602979200

Sold alongside ~10.5 keys for Burning Flames Punk's Pomp

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198846276257#!/compare/1603497600/1603584000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199039080265#!/compare/1603497600/1603584000

Sold alongside ~25 keys in adds at the time for Anti-Freeze Armored Authority

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y30G57Z1 - victory lap was 4 keys 38 ref at the time

Rest of the stuff sums to 25 keys total

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199039080265#!/compare/1604102400/1604188800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087175689#!/compare/1604016000/1604102400

Untrace, the Steaming Trilby and Smoking Pith match

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087175689#!/compare/1604102400/1604188800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052167293#!/compare/1603584000/1604188800

Bulk for Harvest Moon Outta' Sight

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/176576488

Sale 5

Sold on MP

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341453773#!/compare/1606089600/1606176000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1606089600/1606176000

Bulk for SF HKC

Sale 7

Excluding sales to and from qs.store

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/120;5;u14

Oct 13th - $159.99 / $1.88 = 85.10 keys

https://prnt.sc/w6how3 - my sale, this is my trading spreadsheet for those interested

Sales

Taking 85 here, my buyout was 90 I think

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIni for DUPED Burning Flames Defiant Spartan

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/395604987

Sale 1

Deity to good one is not a trade

Deity still owns his one - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041032953

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037271185#!/compare/1606867200/1607126400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1606867200/1606953600

Untrace

Sale 3

Back and forth off bot

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/280552937

Sale 4

Bought off MP, might be unusable now

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341453773#!/compare/1606089600/1606176000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1606003200/1606089600

Bulk for SF HKC

Sale 6

Excluding sales to and from qs.store

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/265185441

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100132186#!/compare/1603756800/1604102400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052116405#!/compare/1603756800/1603843200

Untrace

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052116405#!/compare/1603756800/1603843200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059840687#!/compare/1603756800/1603843200

Untrace

Sale 9

Moved from bot to bot owner

And again

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1603843200/1603929600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198352104810#!/compare/1603756800/1603929600

Bulk for KS Coffin Kit

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198352104810#!/compare/1603756800/1603929600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1603843200/1603929600

Some keys match in the 29 items received

Excluding

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1604448000/1604534400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198826254247#!/compare/1604448000/1604534400

Untrace

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198826254247#!/compare/1604707200/1604793600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139370347#!/compare/1604620800/1604707200

Untrace

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139370347#!/compare/1606003200/1606089600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020399100#!/compare/1606867200/1607299200

Untrace

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020399100#!/compare/1607904000/1607990400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198298597700#!/compare/1607904000/1607990400

https://imgur.com/a/ehuSi4x

Sold alongside 10 keys for Circling Heart Hawk Warrior

Using there

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198298597700#!/compare/1607904000/1607990400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1607904000/1607990400

Dumped to buy order for 72 keys 7.22 ref

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1608163200/1608249600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199014721892#!/compare/1608249600/1608336000

Sold for 85 keys

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/222928023

Sale 18

Bought off MP

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/340;5;u13

All the sales on marketplace are DUPED I think, I checked all the clean histories that have recently moved and there are none that have sold on MP within the time frames provide

That being said, taking last 2 months

Nov 1st - $148.5 / $1.83 = 81.15 keys

Dec 3rd - $135 / $1.76 = 76.70 keys

Dec 8th - $135 / $1.76 = 76.70 keys

Dec 18th - $200 / $2.03 = 98.52 keys

Sales

72, 85, 81, 77, 77, 99

Sales but ordered

72, 77, 77, 81, 85, 99

Taking 72 - 81 keys

Given the 80 key DUPED unsold for 3 weeks

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/7471945258

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186622870#!/compare/1603324800/1603756800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1603238400/1603324800

Untrace

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1605744000/1605830400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198929792978#!/compare/1605744000/1605830400

Sub 200 keys match, excluding

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198929792978#!/compare/1607731200/1608249600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097499917#!/compare/1607644800/1607817600

Bulky for Frostbite BOA, using there

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/7344445097

Sale 15

To and from off bot and owner

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1605657600/1605744000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1605657600/1605744000

Untrace

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1607212800/1607299200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198866158543#!/compare/1607126400/1607299200

Sold for:

Circling Peace Sign Belgian Detective - buyers 8 keys

Strange Australium SMG - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5O6X2PE - 9 keys

Kill-a-Watt Slick Cut - found a mini for 11.5 keys. taking that sorry

Scorching Flames Safe'n'Sound - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fdfcab1ec453109cb260c5b - 69.5 keys

Miami Nights Flamboyant Flamenco - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fbc3e695de0307d5a5516cd - 38 keys

Max's Severed Head - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y96K5WPW - 20 keys

Sunbeams Hunter in Darkness - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fdfc6b10481425296633f20 - 100 keys

Haunted Ghosts Sophisticated Smoker - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fdf95ffb0e2fc62cd4ed0a7 - 40 keys

Green Energy Scotsman's Stove Pipe - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f6e68f6daec7e706e7f80c9 - 45.5 keys

The Lurking Legionnaire

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4Z3E8201 - buyout 294 keys

8 + 9 + 11.5 + 69.5 + 38 + 20 + 100 + 40 + 45.5 = 341.5 keys

Capping at 294 keys

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mini for KAW Slick Cut

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/7957390593

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139994804#!/compare/1604620800/1606867200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263190057#!/compare/1604620800/1604534400

Untrace

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263190057#!/compare/1607299200/1607385600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199104457222#!/compare/1607299200/1607385600

Untrace

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199104457222#!/compare/1607817600/1607904000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041211202#!/compare/1607904000/1607990400

Untrace

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/7957350155

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139370347#!/compare/1606003200/1606089600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198866158543#!/compare/1606435200/1606608000

Untrace

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198866158543#!/compare/1607126400/1607299200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1607212800/1607299200

Bulk for SF HKC

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/7956824948

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198245940978#!/compare/1603584000/1603670400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1603584000/1603670400

0.44 ref matches

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/5034054096

Sale 7

Excluding trades between scammers and qs.store

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30187;5;u56

Nov 29th - $22.22 / $1.76 = 12.63 keys

Taking 13 keys here, and ranging mini from 10 key unsolds to 13 keys. Sorry

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/7231330922

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055533871#!/compare/1606780800/1607472000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131633162#!/compare/1607385600/1607472000

Sold alongside Magical Spirit Skullcracker for Knifestorm Brain Bucket

Honestly, hard to gauge where this should be used for now, will wait until I mini the Brain Bucket

Sales

242, 274, 262, 318, 300, 325, 261, 564, 294

Sales but ordered

242, 261, 262, 274, 294, 300, 318, 325, 564

Current Listings