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Unusual Professional's Panama Neutron Star
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2 SCM sales


Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/5187886652

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1607472000/1607558400

Bought off SCM


Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1604966400/1605052800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044881726#!/compare/1607904000/1607990400

Sold on SCM


SCM

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Professional%27s%20Panama

https://prnt.sc/watwkw - inclined to believe this $51.87 sale was the purchase

https://prnt.sc/watx8i - keys $2.05


51.87 / 2.05 = 25.30 keys


https://prnt.sc/watxjs - inclined to believe this $143.43 sale was the sale

https://prnt.sc/watxs2 - keys $2.16


143.43 / 2.16 = 66.40


Sales

25, 66


Taking 66 flat here lmao

    Sales are a bit discrepant no?

      Sort of, buyers are at 25 keys currently though

        So that further disproves this value since the user sold to begin with for buyers price near enough.

        Showing that no one wants to pay more than 26 would counter 66 flat imo

          Hmm, my logic is that someone, andrei, paid buyers for it off scm, then resold for a high amount within a couple days?

The history would imply it took a month to sell for 25 - with that in mind I dont think this flat value raise is the way to go here. Granted there's a gap which makes it hard to determine when it was listed exactly, but it still casts doubt on taking such a radical raise.

    I agree with that point, I'm just curious about any other situations where something similar has happened?

      maybe wait for an other sale here?

        If the sales are this far apart, a huge change will generally not pass unless it is very clear that one of the two is the outlier AND that the other most certainly is not. In this particular case I dont think either condition is met.


        An argument can be made when one of the sales is very close to where sales have been at historically, which is why Im far more inclined to accept these cases where they only induce a very minor change or a refresh, but when there is such a huge raise or drop I would default to waiting for more sales rather than reporting the sale as is.

          Closing then