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Challenge 20, Squad 2, Strange
Orbiting Fire Bonk Helm
History 1: https://backpack.tf/item/3402584908
9 keys 18 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272235594#!/compare/1602892800/1602979200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199081030760#!/compare/1602720000/1602979200
Keys were 46.11-46.22 ref at the time https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y7J9WPGL
18/46.16=0.38 keys. Taking 9.38
9 keys 39.44 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199081030760#!/compare/1602979200/1603065600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1602979200/1603065600
Keys were 46-46.11 ref https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M077NOOV
39.44/46.05=0.86 keys, taking 9.86
10 keys (the ID matched the 19 keys but only 10 of the histories match)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1603411200/1603497600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108983778#!/compare/1603497600/1603584000
https://backpack.tf/item/1070080489 (duped)
[BLUE ID]
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195933333#!/compare/1603065600/1603152000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1603065600/1603152000
Depodited to Marketplace.tf
[GREEN ID]
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058930524#!/compare/1591747200/1603929600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138322150#!/compare/1603843200/1604102400
Dumped to QuickselL.store
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138322150#!/compare/1604102400/1604188800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1604016000/1604102400
Bot transfer
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1604448000/1604534400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1604448000/1604534400
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1607990400/1608076800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142115831#!/compare/1607904000/1608076800
only 1.11 ref matches:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142115831#!/compare/1608163200/1608508800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1608422400/1608508800
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1608595200/1608681600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198869578390#!/compare/1608163200/1608681600
Marketplace.tf sales, both untraceable: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/106;5;u33
October 28: $24.99/1.84=13.58 ~14 keys
December 12: $25.99/1.89=13.75 ~14 keys
Median is gonna be well above 10 so rounding to the neares whole
We have 9, 10, 10, 14, 14
Taking 10-14 because it's more consistent and neater
No one:
Key and Ref prices:
Slide to the left Claps
Slide to the right Claps
Criss cross Claps Claps
Criss cross Claps Claps
Cha Cha real smooth
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1603411200/1603497600
https://gyazo.com/81b89d4090212b4f219202e9093bf31d
Julia's sale was for 11 keys. I'm getting a 21 group that matches, not a 19.
Sale 1 also looks like ~10, more ref can be seen on the buyers side.
https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fd8da69dc78ebc5eecf154a - one untrace sale was likely for 12.
Tbh 14s seem a bit high but there's nothing explicitly proving them high other than a few sales to bot that are automatically excluded. Gonna accept this.