Mini for Strange SF Pithy

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/9286444511

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064658655#!/compare/1604361600/1604448000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198319549446#!/compare/1604448000/1604534400

https://gyazo.com/01ee85e2ade0fbd7ef4c11f0c826747b

Sold for:

Ancient Eldritch Duck Billed Hatypus - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fdf87f317d9142f264ceab2 - 107 keys

Cool Specialized Killstreak Spirit of Halloween Medi Gun (Field-Tested) - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fe1f2c49f60b37f101d0106 - 35 keys

18 keys

107 + 35 + 18 = 160 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O6Q31ZG - 144 key buyout

Capping at 144 keys

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198319549446#!/compare/1604620800/1605139200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311981931#!/compare/1604534400/1604620800

Untrace, I think bulky for PE Rifle

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311981931#!/compare/1604707200/1604793600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098565783#!/compare/1604534400/1604880000

Sold for:

Sunbeams Bumble Beenie - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f5e604cfd999617362c71c5 - 63.5 keys

Strange Specialized Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher - https://prnt.sc/w7twei - taking 40 keys, can't find snapshots from the day

Fifth Dimension Bat Hat - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fe1fe88f39bc354ef7aa761 - 25.5 keys

Strange Summer Shades - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EZKJKXD - 6 keys at the time

63.5 + 40 + 25.5 + 6 = 135 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/467158D0 - buyout 120 keys

Capping at 120 keys

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/9234986891

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064486474#!/compare/1606521600/1606867200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273331466#!/compare/1606780800/1606867200

SF Ponk matches, seems low if it just that

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273331466#!/compare/1607299200/1607385600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1607299200/1607385600

Sold alongside 112 keys for Nebula UT

Use there but I don't have the sanity to do that currently

Sale 6

Moved to bot and back

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1607990400/1608076800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136723493#!/compare/1607990400/1608076800

Sold for:

Non-Craftable Professional Killstreak Degreaser Kit

Sunbeams Timeless Topper

Non-Craftable Professional Killstreak Sniper Rifle Kit

Violent Wintertide Reindoonibeanie

Frozen Fractals Jolly Jingler

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4RD53R15 - buyout 190 keys

New stuff hard to price, I go exclude

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/8917725375

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061779536#!/compare/1605052800/1605139200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195933333#!/compare/1605139200/1605225600

13 ref matches

Sale 9

Moved to mannco.store

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/8764088393

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1603929600/1604016000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198319950348#!/compare/1603756800/1604016000

Sold for 127 keys

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198319950348#!/compare/1605744000/1605830400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195933333#!/compare/1605744000/1605830400

Untrace

Sale 12

Moved to mannco.store

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/8431033874

Sale 13

Sold on MP

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/6915165739

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052116405#!/compare/1603843200/1603929600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1603843200/1603929600

8 ref matches

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1604880000/1604966400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198949471866#!/compare/1604880000/1604966400

Sold for 117 keys 14 ref

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/420ON8NZ - buyout 117 keys 45 ref

Probably just taking 118 keys here

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198949471866#!/compare/1606348800/1606435200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179712943#!/compare/1606348800/1606435200

30 ref matches

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179712943#!/compare/1606435200/1606521600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322957656#!/compare/1606348800/1606521600

Sold for Strange SF Pithy and 22 keys

Using there hopefully

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322957656#!/compare/1607731200/1607817600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198292336517#!/compare/1607731200/1607817600

Sold for:

Disco Beat Down Brotherhood of Arms - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5fe213cb3bddc8575e4c7968 - 88 keys

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Flame Thrower - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YDPE28KV - 39 keys

14 keys

88 + 39 + 14 = 141 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MV69J6QV - buyout 190 keys

Taking 141 keys

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198292336517#!/compare/1607990400/1608076800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060589954#!/compare/1607990400/1608076800

Untrace

Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060589954#!/compare/1607990400/1608076800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316907092#!/compare/1607644800/1608076800

Sold alongside 52 keys for Nebula UT, use there again :D

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/6823819704

Sale 21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059864439#!/compare/1603497600/1603584000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052116405#!/compare/1603497600/1603584000

Untrace

Sale 22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052116405#!/compare/1603843200/1603929600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1603843200/1603929600

2.11 ref matches again

Sale 23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1604102400/1604188800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108898161#!/compare/1604016000/1604188800

Sold for 125 keys

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/6776141013

Sale 24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000091310#!/compare/1605916800/1606003200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995029705#!/compare/1605657600/1606003200

Sold for 125 keys

Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/6762763328

Sale 25

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1603670400/1603756800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198820339606#!/compare/1603670400/1603756800

Uhhh, untrace

Sale 26

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198820339606#!/compare/1603843200/1608595200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179707937#!/compare/1604448000/1604534400

Sold on SCM

Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/6759129399

Sale 27

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151229971#!/compare/1604448000/1605139200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1604361600/1604448000

Untrace

Sale 28

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985910282#!/compare/1605139200/1605225600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995029705#!/compare/1605052800/1605225600

Sold for 123 keys 40 ref

Taking 124 keys

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30976;5;u13

Nov 18th - $275 / $1.76 = 156.25 keys

Nov 27th - $275 / $1.76 = 156.25 keys

Sales

144, 120, 127, 118, 141, 125, 125, 124, 156, 156

Sales but ordered

118, 120, 124, 125, 125, 127, 141, 144, 156, 156

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/w7x62c

Sellers at ~190 keys

Buyers at 86 keys

Running with a fat range of 118 - 156 keys here, buyers have dropped because of the Dip

Criticism appreciated

Criticism received from Shuffle, appreciated:

The Beenie in Sale 3 was outdated when you made this, but the sale will cap anyway.

Sale 4 was the Punk's + 25 Keys (1 Key doesn't match in the 2nd link), which will make that sale 115 Keys.

Sale 19 looks like it was the Burning Tundra + 25 Keys for the Scorching Tundra, which doesn't make sense.

Sale 25 isn't untraceable; it was 129 Keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158206236#!/compare/1602028800/1602115200 - Sold for 119 Keys + 18 Refined (rounds to 119)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141178520#!/compare/1608768000/1608940800 - Sold for 104 Keys

https://imgur.com/a/sW0e386 - Both 156 sales happened when sellers were around 130 Keys, so I'd exclude those.

104 can also be excluded as low, so 118 - 144 Keys would work here.

Taking 118 – 144 keys here