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https://backpack.tf/item/9228735077

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046155045#!/compare/1603238400/1605830400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311431152#!/compare/1605052800/1605830400

56 pure, sellers bp never updated?


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https://backpack.tf/item/8940993303

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1608854400/1608940800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127314754#!/compare/1608854400/1608940800

~36

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132699658#!/compare/1609372800/1609545600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1609286400/1609459200

untraced


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198996047364#!/compare/1609372800/1609545600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132699658#!/compare/1609286400/1609545600

untraced


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https://backpack.tf/item/8912770962

went thru mannco.store, untraceable ig? or if there is a way to find the item page on it lemme know


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https://backpack.tf/item/8878688917

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098607786#!/compare/1606435200/1606953600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129995083#!/compare/1606089600/1607990400

untraced


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123146104#!/compare/1607385600/1608076800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098607786#!/compare/1607904000/1608163200

untraced


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Marketplace Sales


https://backpack.tf/item/8373122680

October 11th at $152.99

$152.99 / $1.87 = 81.81 keys


November 4th at $136

$136 / $1.82 = 74.73 keys


November 8th at $83.3

$83.3 / $1.81 = 46.02 keys


https://backpack.tf/item/9048102923

Nov 28th at $115.99

$115.99 / $1.76 = 65.90 keys


December 3rd at $109.99

$109.99 / $1.76 = 62.49 keys


December 8th at $100

$100 / $1.76 = 56.82 keys


December 10th at $109.99

$109.99 / $1.81 = 60.77 keys


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Gladiator.tf Stats

https://i.imgur.com/hfuQVeo.png

1 sale at 80 keys

1 buy at ~48 keys


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All Sales

36

46

48

56

57

61

62

66

75

80

82

current buy orders reside at 46 keys

taking 46-82 but it seems so wide @_@ help

    your range is as wide as you say, so lets look at the sales like this:


    36 - went to a quickbuyer

    46 - nov 8 MP sale $83.30

    48 - gladiator.tf buy order

    56 - pure

    57 - dec 8 MP $100

    61 - dec 10 MP, $109.99

    62 - dec 3 MP sale $109.99

    66 - nov 28 sale $115.99

    75 - november 4 MP, $136

    80 - gladiator stats

    82 - october 11 MP, $152.99


    https://backpack.tf/item/8878688917

    This is the gladiator stats sales

    so that means 48 1 ref went to a buy order and 80 was sold by the bot

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098607786#!/compare/1607990400/1608163200

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123146104#!/compare/1608076800/1608163200

    keys do leave the 2nd compare, but unless you can get a screenshot to prove it sold for 80 keys (as the compares do not show it), then you cant say it was 80 keys


    let me show you why:

    https://gyazo.com/7ca81ce249c4203e2319ed6f7d281b58

    https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Misty%20Skull%20Sultan%27s%20Ceremonial

    i sold this through my bot, glad stats says 100 keys

    https://gyazo.com/677629dec3513838e0498b18e3572da3

    but it didnt actually sell for 100 keys, it sold for items

    glad stats only remember the buyout and that it sold, not necessarily that it sold for the exact price listed


    so with this, the 80 key sale is nothing until you can prove it (and even if you can prove it, the rest of the reasoning below will let you exclude it anyway)


    now for the rest of the sales

    36 went to a quickbuyer

    46 is low because of buyers

    and 48 was a buy order, so we can count those three out


    pure sales have more precedence over MP sales because a BP price represents the pure value of the item - therefore a pure sale is much more accurate in representing the value than say, an MP or item sale


    75 and 82 are both MP sales from over 2 months ago - and they are at $153 and $136

    in comparison, all of the sales past that are all lower than those sales, so we can hypothetically take a 2 month timespan instead of a 3 month timespan here


    if it were me, i would go with 56-66 keys, cutting off 36-48 because they are low/to buyers

    and cutting off 75-82 because 80 is unconfirmed and 75/82 are older and have many sales under it on the same medium (marketplace)