https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/921;5;u19

Oct 7 - $65.88 / $1.86 = 35.42 keys https://backpack.tf/item/9007517945

Nov 8 - $45 / $1.81 = 24.86 keys

Nov 11 - $69.99 / $1.80 = 38.88 keys

Dec 14 - $69.99 / $1.96 = 35.71 keys https://backpack.tf/item/4874337728

Dec 14 - $69.99 / $1.96 = 35.71 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198833954279#!/compare/1602028800/1602720000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1601942400/1602028800

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1603929600/1604016000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178303843#!/compare/1603929600/1604448000

33 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1602201600/1602288000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1602201600/1602288000

Only refined matches

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1603929600/1604016000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077598622#!/compare/1603929600/1604016000

33 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077598622#!/compare/1604016000/1604102400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049098788#!/compare/1604016000/1604102400

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049098788#!/compare/1604102400/1604188800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130720294#!/compare/1604102400/1604188800

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130720294#!/compare/1604102400/1604188800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198242535146#!/compare/1603497600/1604188800

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198242535146#!/compare/1604188800/1604534400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199019427074#!/compare/1604102400/1604188800

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199019427074#!/compare/1605052800/1605139200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198848287180#!/compare/1605139200/1605225600

31 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198848287180#!/compare/1606521600/1607904000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1606435200/1606521600

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1608163200/1608249600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198392339356#!/compare/1608076800/1608249600

Green Energy Hot Dogger + 4 keys, sold by quicksell.store

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198392339356#!/compare/1608508800/1608595200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1608508800/1608595200

Then the GE Hot Dogger sale dumped it to stn anyway

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078774677#!/compare/1602806400/1603324800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1602720000/1602806400

Scorching Flames El Mostacho, better used there

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1605657600/1605744000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084209444#!/compare/1605657600/1605744000

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139370347#!/compare/1605139200/1605225600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058252581#!/compare/1605052800/1605225600

70 item stack, which is 39 keys and refined to round to round to 40 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058252581#!/compare/1608249600/1608336000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1608249600/1608336000

only refined matches, went to quickbuyer after the above 40 key sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1608336000/1608422400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199106217370#!/compare/1608336000/1608422400

13 keys matches

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199106217370#!/compare/1609286400/1609372800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013167777#!/compare/1609286400/1609372800

30 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013167777#!/compare/1609372800/1609459200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208828709#!/compare/1609200000/1609718400

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013167777#!/compare/1609372800/1609459200

There's two Heart Executioners in this compare, one of them untraceable (the sale from above) and there's a 33 key stack

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169907350#!/compare/1609372800/1609459200 the keys mostly come from here but no heart executioner to be found

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214173279#!/compare/1592179200/1603756800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195933333#!/compare/1603670400/1603756800

40 item stack, which is 28 keys and 12 refined, went to quickbuyer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195933333#!/compare/1603843200/1603929600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1603843200/1603929600

37 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037674114#!/compare/1608681600/1608854400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097171432#!/compare/1608768000/1609027200

untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097171432#!/compare/1609372800/1609459200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1609286400/1609372800

untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1605139200/1605225600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191234989#!/compare/1604966400/1605225600

untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191234989#!/compare/1605225600/1605312000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1605139200/1605225600

untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1605916800/1606003200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063127837#!/compare/1605139200/1606003200

untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063127837#!/compare/1606003200/1607385600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198879945899#!/compare/1605916800/1606003200

40 refined matches

sales

25

28

30

31

33

33

35

36

36

37

39

40

classifieds

https://gyazo.com/32bc8c6daeb5c170080100b8ac1a3b29

two sellers at 30

one of them is young, a few days old

one of them has had since november, but has been changing price with competition

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5feb622a9cd9f8678f318c33

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fe00d8ee12cdd4c5be0bf53

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fd97ba72f87fccdbaa8c1f6

https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fd54399a8fc6e110335a88d

safe to say it hasnt been at 30 the whole time

so lets see

40 qs to bot

39 2 month old MP sale (and is the same price point as the two 36s with varying key prices)

28 went to a bot

buyers to 27

lets go with 30-37 for now