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Update!
Sale: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/611;5;u6 - 45.99/1.81 = ~25
https://backpack.tf/item/940054029
Classies: https://i.imgur.com/rrstw35.png. 25 flat.
The buyer sold it to tradeit, where it's now listed for 24.5 Keys, so they likely sold it for a good amount less than 25.
I'd wait for another sale before updating this.