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Re-suggesting from https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ff69348be225137fa191884#comment-5ffab1e74b112d667747f6e8
I bought and sold one recently.
Classified listings
8 buy listings for 26 keys
Selling for 30 keys
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Bombing+Run&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&particle=89&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0
Mini for starstorm slumber Airdog (21) + 8 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046353418#!/compare/1609891200/1609977600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079732932#!/compare/1609718400/1609977600
Bought for 27 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046353418#!/compare/1609632000/1609718400
Currently untraceable on the seller's end. https://backpack.tf/item/3445831991
Most recent marketplace.tf sale, November 4th 2020 at $59.99.
At the time keys were $1.80
59.99/1.80 = 33.3 keys (round to 33)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/249;5;u89
Sales at:
27
29
33
30
31
31
Thanks to Shuffle spy for
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079732932#!/compare/1609977600/1610150400 - added 9 keys for a scorching handyman's handle. Outdated price, s/o at 41.5 keys, b/o at 36 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102451836#!/compare/1607299200/1607385600 - Sold for 30 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199019427074#!/compare/1607385600/1607472000 - Bulk sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199019427074#!/compare/1607644800/1607731200 - 31 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044668296#!/compare/1607904000/1607990400 - untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1608163200/1608249600 - bot qs.
Yo, Bivers sold his to me for 28 keys, he didn't trade it for that handymans.
https://gyazo.com/ddaa95b02299ff5b1b13b116c532eeb8 proof of trade
Thanks for the clarification, although it does not change the price that I'm recommending. Sales at 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 31, 33.
Actually, if the sale was 28 Keys, then that can be your low end. Sorry for making you fix this again, but I couldn't decipher what Bivers' sale was.
28 to 30 will work.
Should it not then be 28-31? 33 is an outlier but there are multiple sales at 31.
I only see 1 sale in your proof, but that was one of the sales I marked as ? because neither the histories nor IDs of the Keys matched with the buyer.
Also, there's a 5 month old seller at 30 that suggests anything above that is high.