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Using Avg week key price
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30548;5;u36
$21.99 / $1.78 = 12.35 keys
no history or B/O found
other active history: Ignoring as it is essentially bounced between bots
https://backpack.tf/item/8818257569
(thanks shuffle for info)
Sold for 12 Keys + 22 Refined
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1604102400/1604188800
The buyer promptly sold it to a buy order the next day, so this sale can be excluded (though it supports including 12)
Think this sold for 11 Keys (one goes to a different quicksell.store bot)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198379116660#!/compare/1608854400/1609200000
https://imgur.com/a/W1lKFHc - Seller at 11 Keys
https://mannco.store/item/24535
https://backpack.tf/item/8818257569
11 to 12 will work.