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Never priced.
Mini for Pumpkin Party Sir Pumpkinton.
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/item/9190137412
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198929792978#!/compare/1603411200/1603497600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025443179#!/compare/1603152000/1603584000
1:1 for Pumpkin Party Sir Pumpkinton. Used there.
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/item/9190137412
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198929792978#!/compare/1605225600/1605744000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1605657600/1605744000
31 keys. Histories don't align but it looks like the buyer sold an item to a third party, whose keys were then used to pay for this.
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/item/9153210456
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1602979200/1603065600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341377747#!/compare/1602115200/1603065600
Sold for duped Green Energy Handyman's Handle + 23 keys + 68.27 ref (1.32 keys) worth of sweets (1.94+3.86+3.86+2.83+25.4+25.81+1.72+2.85).
23 + 23 + 1 = 47
Mini for duped Green Energy Handyman's Handle:
https://backpack.tf/item/212266379
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1604188800/1604275200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202476873#!/compare/1603411200/1604275200
Sold for 22 keys + 46 ref + Strange Flakcatcher (taking bp.tf value of 13.66).
Total: 22+0.89+0.26=23.15 keys, rounded to 23.
Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/item/9153210456
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31108;5;u9
October 22, 2020: $69.99
$69.99 / $1.86 = 37.63 keys
38 keys.
Conclusion:
I really hate the price points we've got here. One sale at 31, one sale at 38, and one sale at 47. I'm going to exclude the 47 key sale because of the sellers on classifieds: https://gyazo.com/76799490c3a1a00cd268246495b4138a
Indeed, they are still lower than our high end, but I think it's fine in this case because the median is below their price.
sale 2 was 28 keys + 3 ref not 31 keys
28-38?
i guess that works for now. will probably be left up for a bit though for more data points