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Price update!
Histories with in-date sales:
https://backpack.tf/item/1739045211 -> several sales
Sale #1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207720484#!/compare/1604188800/1605398400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198888086377#!/compare/1604102400/1604188800
Transfer? Broker? Bulk? Untrace?
Sale #2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198888086377#!/compare/1604188800/1604275200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052116405#!/compare/1604102400/1604275200
Thought it sold for a BF bear nec - however sale dates dont match and the other unusuals dont match the owners... Untraceable as to what it sold for...
Then transferred and sold on marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/1732358412 -> few sales (near outdated though)
Sale #1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1602892800/1602979200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1602892800/1602979200
Untrace? Checked the key trades from previous owner and none matched the newer owner (Rubi) - however this shouldnt matter too match as will be outdated in like 1/2 days from submission
Sale #2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1603065600/1603152000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158206236#!/compare/1602979200/1603065600
Traced 57k pure (quite close to the 53k b.o and is almost outdated - i would say this may be low due to the marketplace sale and sellers)
Marketplace sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/150;5;u63
Using avg key price from manic.tf for the Jan 1st sale (2.13)
Jan 1st @ 219.99 / 2.13 = 103.28k (~103k) -> https://backpack.tf/item/1739045211 (likely history)
Total sales @
57k
103k
Im gonna say 57k is low due to it almost being 3 months outdated
103k flat should be good due to the sellers at 125k + - also they are likely old now
Taking 103k flat
it would probably be better to wait for another sale here. with sales at 57 and 103 there's no reason why 103 isn't extremely high here at the moment.
r+ubi's sale was almost certainly either the batch of 55 or 63 keys via a buy order (or something that instantly sold for either amounts) as seen in the first compare which further supports 103 flat is likely high here.