Price Suggestion
Steaming Law
Submitted by ZeritoPower
~20 keys
steaming
Unusual Law Steaming
40 votes up
5 votes down
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This suggestion was accepted by K1ng.

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Comments

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1609113600/1609200000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353865610#!/compare/1609113600/1609372800

untraceable (too many trades at once)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198248504826#!/compare/1607558400/1610841600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1607385600/1608076800

untraceable (too many trades at once)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198371028016#!/compare/1607040000/1607558400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198248548464#!/compare/1606262400/1607385600

not counting because it was traded with a scammer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099427507#!/compare/1610236800/1610323200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083542691#!/compare/1609977600/1610323200

sold for 25 keys pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083542691#!/compare/1610582400/1610755200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301593113#!/compare/1610582400/1610668800

not certain of sale, not counting towards range

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198387582886#!/compare/1608163200/1608249600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198326070127#!/compare/1608163200/1608508800

untraceable

--------------------------------

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198396832255#!/compare/1610150400/1610236800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198939195185#!/compare/1610150400/1610236800

sold for mixed (counting sell orders on the overall price, and for the dread knot buy orders) (for the panick attack and Prof. KS. kit, I'm using scm)

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Professional%20Killstreak%20Beggar%27s%20Bazooka%20Kit

Mini for the beggar's kit, ~$8-$9 looks consistent

$8.97/2.43=3.69 keys

$8.15/2.46=3.31 keys

median value of 3.5 keys, take 3.5 keys as the value for the beggar's kit

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Professional%20Killstreak%20Panic%20Attack

Professional Killstreak Panic Attack Mini: https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Professional%20Killstreak%20Panic%20Attack

Consistent between $7.5 and $10

$7.5/2.4=3.13 keys

10.01/2.38=4.2 keys

average is ~3.5 for the panic attack

--------------------------------------

(12.55 ref [haunted medic soul] + 11.33 ref[haunted sniper soul] + 15 ref[haunted engineer soul] + 47 ref[haunted demoman soul] + 6.2 keys[dread knot] + 1.93 keys [haunted larva lid] + 14.88 ref [haunted heavy soul] + 2 keys [snack attack] + 21.22 ref [Haunted Pyro soul] + 22 ref [Strange Chill chullo] + 24 ref [Strange Wartime Warmth] + 32.55 ref [Strange hot dogger] + 13.66 ref [strange Juvenile's Jumper] + 18.77 ref [strange el patron] + 4.55 ref [strange mini engy] + 6 ref [ strange conaghers utility idol] + 17.77 ref [strange pocket pauling] + 2 keys [strange Roboot] + 5 ref [strange king cardbeard] + 23 ref [strange final frontiersman] + 37.66 ref [festivizer] + 1.58 keys [spec ks pan] + 3.5 keys [Spec KS panick attack] + 3.5 keys [Prof. KS. Beggars Bazooka] + 8 keys pure

------------------------

total for the mixed sale is 326.94 ref + 28.71 keys. On the day that sale happened, keys were around 51.77-51.88 ref https://gladiator.tf/listings/5ff9e79f35e2e40013213b24. Therefore Median is 51.83, 326.94 ref /51.83 = 6.31 keys

Now converting to keys, 28.71+6.31 = 35.02 keys, rounded to 35 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198939195185#!/compare/1610236800/1610323200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069561656#!/compare/1610236800/1610496000

untraceable


mp.tf sales (https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30362;5;u36)

December 10: 38.00, 38.00/1.81 = 20.9, rounding to 21 keys (https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-12-10&price=38)

December 31: 47.9, 47.9/2.14 = 22.38, rounding to 22 keys (https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-12-31&price=47.9)


In summary, sales at

21,22,25,35

counting 35 as an outlier, since at the time of sale (9th of January) there was a law for sale at 26 keys (https://gladiator.tf/listings/5ffa27425b71a18d4aa700e1) and it doesn't fit with current B/O and S/O. (https://gladiator.tf/listings/6005c657d8faf85495b217a5)

Therefore, taking 21-25 as the new price, as it fits the current sellers.

Special thanks to Strange and AJ, they made this suggestion possible.