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History 1: https://backpack.tf/item/7966324229
16 keys pure + Robo Community Crate Key + Bruiser's Bandanna with Tinge paint
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095022965#!/compare/1608249600/1608336000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168563614#!/compare/1608249600/1608336000
Robo Key doesn't have any recent pure sales to taking 1 key for it given that's the current price and buyers are at that too
For the Bandanna, taking 23 ref since there are multiple buyers at 23 for that specific paint and not too far off from a seller at 30 ref https://imgur.com/dKZPg7W
Keys were 60.33-60.44 ref https://imgur.com/CrIXBbP, 23/60.38=0.38 keys
16+1+0.38=17.38 ~17 keys
buyout was 18 keys, doesn't cap https://gladiator.tf/listings/5fdbb6af9bb6e58c5d55c043
Untraceable Marketplace.tf sale: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30314;5;u35
December 13: $35/1.92=18.23 ~18 keys
Sales at 17 and 18 keys, taking 17-18
Untraceable Marketplace.tf sale: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30314;5;u35
December 13: $35/1.92=18.23 ~18 keys
Wouldn't this be...
December 13: $35/2.02=17.32 ~ 17keys?
$2.02 Keys price on Mp.tf on December 13.
https://ibb.co/B4JDmKV
17.38 ~ 17 Keys
17.32 ~ 17 Keys
I'm thinking 17 flat may be more accurate.
for December 13 you have to use the average of the past 7 days before the sale because of key inflation, so it rounds to 18 keys. 17 keys is the sale in History 1 so 17-18 makes sense
Bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960988736#!/compare/1610496000/1611100800
However, we will have to keep an eye on this:
https://imgur.com/a/EmVTnBv
https://backpack.tf/item/3362425735
Eye kept
Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/3362425735
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960988736#!/compare/1611187200/1611619200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098096360#!/compare/1611446400/1611532800
Sold for 14 keys
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098096360#!/compare/1611446400/1611532800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261763109#!/compare/1611446400/1611532800
It would appear to have sold for
Green Confetti King Cardbeard
3 keys
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261763109#!/compare/1611532800/1611619200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196410274#!/compare/1611532800/1611619200
Untrace
Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196410274#!/compare/1611619200/1611705600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198951078366#!/compare/1611619200/1611705600
Untrace
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198951078366#!/compare/1611705600/1611792000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312#!/compare/1611705600/1611792000
Sold for Circling Peace Sign Your Worst Nightmare
Probably want to mini the Cardbeard here as well as the YWN and see where they come to
Current Listings
https://prnt.sc/yol0sa
Only one seller at 17 keys, buyers at slightly over 14 keys
Thanks for the update.
14 took ~4 days and buyers were under 13 at the time. I would go with 14-17 here and use this to update both Cardbeard and YWN, as these sales will either fall in range or be above unsolds.