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Hmm
Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/5337638189
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035342207#!/compare/1608163200/1608249600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101484822#!/compare/1608163200/1608249600
https://prnt.sc/xm64ve
Sold to my bot buy order for 51 keys 19 ref
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101484822#!/compare/1608854400/1608940800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198299491429#!/compare/1608768000/1609113600
https://prnt.sc/xm678j
Sold for 90 keys
Item 2
https://backpack.tf/item/5330380382
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198242754520#!/compare/1607990400/1611532800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1611360000/1611446400
31 ref matches
Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1611446400/1611532800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050194207#!/compare/1610582400/1611532800
Sold for 60 keys
Explanation here - https://prnt.sc/xm6b6j, I saw Zol was listed at 60 keys, since I have a trade hold, I asked Cave and he kindly helped me out.
Item 3
https://backpack.tf/item/5252821514
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098475782#!/compare/1607212800/1609113600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038666068#!/compare/1609372800/1609459200
Bought off SCM
Sale 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038666068#!/compare/1611014400/1611100800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098694108#!/compare/1611014400/1611100800
37.11 ref matches
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Neutron%20Star%20Lil%27%20Bitey - Suggests 51 keys 31.77 ref matches
Taking 52 keys
Sale 7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098694108#!/compare/1611100800/1611187200
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Neutron%20Star%20Lil%27%20Bitey - 60 key sale
58 keys match, but I am guessing it's 60 keys, either way, I'm asking Triple Master A
https://gyazo.com/07d9f6e7f9bcdebe45878383eab9a030
Thanks A, taking 60 keys
Item 4
https://backpack.tf/item/5223941538
Sale 8
Delisted off MP
Item 5
https://backpack.tf/item/5219796631
Sale 9
Bought off MP
Item 6
https://backpack.tf/item/5213479283
Sale 10
Also bought off MP
Item 7
https://backpack.tf/item/5202931226
Sale 11
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1611446400/1611532800
Sold for 60 keys
Explanation here - https://prnt.sc/xm6o3w, arthur dropped his price with Zol at 60 keys
Item 8
https://backpack.tf/item/5202293158
Sale 12
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199106217370#!/compare/1611100800/1611187200
idk, can't see any amount of keys matching
Marketplace sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30814;5;u107
Dec 1st - $169.99 / $1.76 = 96.59 keys
Dec 1st - $169.99 / $1.76 = 96.59 keys
Dec 27th - $189.99 / $2.17 = 87.55 keys
Jan 13th - $199.99 / $2.12 = 94.33 keys
Sales
51, 90, 60, 52, 60, 60, 97, 97, 88, 94
Sales but ordered
51, 52, 60, 60, 60, 88, 90, 94, 97, 97
Current Listings
https://prnt.sc/xm6xnp
3 sellers at 85 keys
One today
21 days
27 days - marked "qs"
Let's take a deep dive into the Marketplace sellers why don't we?
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30814;5;u107
4 Neutron Star Lil' Bitey's for sale
Screenshot of the sellers - https://prnt.sc/xm6ztx
Price, $219.99
Current key price
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
https://prnt.sc/xm70sh - sellers at $2.10, they are pretty consistent at this price since the whitelist. Let's check some small things
$219.99 / $2.10 = 104.76 keys listed price, that's almost 20 keys above the current sellers.
https://prnt.sc/xm73lz - "All items must be priced accordingly to their market value. Repeated highballing may get your account kicked out from our program. For any questions, please submit a support ticket regarding this. This has been added to our requirement list."
I'll just leave this here as my 3rd personal warning and it can act as my first public warning to whoever reads into my suggestions.
Let's see, 3 consistent sales at 60 keys, 2 at buy orders, then 5 close to 90/100 keys
I will range it from 60 - 90 keys in this instance, excluding 3/4 of the marketplace sales
Hang on, back to my previous point about highballing, this new value for the item suggests the marketplace sellers are at, well, it's almost 30 keys above market value :D