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Mini for Scorching Flames Coldsnap Cap
Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/7955771542
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1611273600/1611360000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093822339#!/compare/1611273600/1611360000
Sold for 34 keys
Item 2
https://backpack.tf/item/9410263478
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032835073#!/compare/1606694400/1606780800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091740704#!/compare/1606780800/1606867200
Sold alongside 5 keys for Vivid Plasma Brown Bomber
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/600f43f20860d40eda63b932 - 46.5 keys
46.5 - 5 = 41.5 keys
Taking 42 keys
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091740704#!/compare/1609286400/1609718400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1609459200/1609545600
Sold alongside Death at Dusk Swagman's Swatter for Scorching Flames Coldsnap Cap
Using there
Sales
34, 42
Taking 34 - 42 keys here
Any reason a bunch of sales in Item 2 were arbitrarily ignored?
Last 2 months
Not sure what gave you the impression that ignoring a month's worth of sales is fine, but it's all good I did the digging
-Sold for 30 keys + ~1 key in ref: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309832044#!/compare/1604793600/1604880000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164421319#!/compare/1604793600/1604880000
-Re flipped in a day for ~37 keys (note that Bobby used the keys from Eye after selling the burning coupe to buy the headsplitter): https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164421319#!/compare/1604880000/1604966400 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081793950#!/compare/1604880000/1604966400
-Sold for a pumpkin party fire fighter + 4 keys: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081793950#!/compare/1605052800/1605139200 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294172315#!/compare/1605052800/1605139200
-30 keys pure: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294172315#!/compare/1606003200/1606176000 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065504881#!/compare/1606089600/1606176000
-Sold for a blizz hot rod + vivid defiant: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065504881#!/compare/1606089600/1606176000 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032835073#!/compare/1606089600/1606176000
I'm honestly okay using majority pure sale data here. We have two sales at 30 to support your low end and a pure sale at 37 that lands somewhere in the middle of your suggested range. I'd appreciated if you used the headsplitter sale to update the fire fighter, though.