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Mini for SF Aviator
Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/813773445
Sale 1
No sale
Item 2
https://backpack.tf/item/298785740
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040186479#!/compare/1603324800/1603411200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195933333#!/compare/1603324800/1603411200
Untrace
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195933333#!/compare/1603411200/1603497600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090356748#!/compare/1603497600/1603584000
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M07XZKWQ - buyout 55 keys
I'll count keys later
Hmm, so:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040585908#!/compare/1603411200/1603497600
I think Progressive bought for 55 keys and flipped for the 59 keys and the Lime Bruisers within a day
Taking 2 sales here, one at 55 keys and one at 59 keys
Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090356748#!/compare/1605571200/1605657600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060589954#!/compare/1605571200/1605657600
Sold for SF Aviator and 5 keys
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060589954#!/compare/1605657600/1605744000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1605657600/1605744000
13 keys match
Sale 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1606089600/1606176000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199010987801#!/compare/1606089600/1606176000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199010987801#!/compare/1606089600/1606176000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1606089600/1606176000
Gambling / untrace
Sale 7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1606608000/1606694400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1606608000/1606694400
Untrace / bulk qs likely
https://prnt.sc/wdxucn - was the mp snipe, cheers Erik
Sale 8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1608681600/1608768000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313058677#!/compare/1608336000/1608854400
49 keys match
https://prnt.sc/wdxu5g - Sold for 68 keys here
Marketplace sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/388;5;u14;strange
Nov 30th - $85 / $1.76 = 48.30 keys
Sales
55, 59, 68, 48
Let's see, buyers were 54 keys at that 55 key sale and it resold quick enough for 59 keys despite being listed at 58 keys for 3 days prior
Hmm
Running with 55 - 68 keys here I suppose
New sales:
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313058677#!/compare/1610928000/1611014400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199063531190#!/compare/1610841600/1610928000
Bulk for Nebula UT
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199063531190#!/compare/1611100800/1611187200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415564349#!/compare/1611100800/1611187200
Sold for 70 keys 40 ref
https://scrap.tf/auctions/2358UF
There are 70 keys here, I counted
Taking 71 keys
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415564349#!/compare/1611273600/1611360000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1611360000/1611446400
Sold for DBD Chill Chullo and 1 key
https://prnt.sc/xpqgd1 - proof, thanks bass
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6011770520652415a069b4c1 - 69.5
69.5 + 1 = 70.5 keys
Taking 71 keys
Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1611446400/1611532800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142129821#!/compare/1611446400/1611532800
https://prnt.sc/xpo3r2
Sold for 69 keys
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142129821#!/compare/1611446400/1611532800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198339431191#!/compare/1611360000/1611619200
https://prnt.sc/xpo4vs
Sold alongside 31 keys for DBD TC, someone use there
Sale 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198339431191#!/compare/1611360000/1611619200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198429062799#!/compare/1611360000/1611532800
Sold for 69 keys
Sales
71, 71, 69, 69
I need to mini the DBD Chill Chullo and also get confirmation of that sale and how many keys were added.
I don't like this situation at all. Considering buyers increase by that much and having the new value somewhat inflated.
I'll probably end up making this 68 - 71 keys depending on how the Chullo turns out.
Regardless, I just record sales and give my logic and reasoning behind what price they should be.
Overall sales
55, 59, 68, 48, 71, 71, 69, 69
https://prnt.sc/xpqv5i - buyers 68 keys
68 - 71 keys here, will fix the SF Aviator
https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Scorching+Flames+Private+Eye
https://backpack.tf/item/7957646604
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127045046#!/compare/1614038400/1614297600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1614211200/1614297600 - dumped on stn.tf (likely for 67 keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1613088000/1613174400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127045046#!/compare/1612915200/1613520000
https://gladiator.tf/listings/6026ee07176bd257ad87e0ff - sold for Steaming Ol' Geezer + Purple Energy Front Runner + Holy Grail Taunt: Skullcracker + Stormy Storm Bolted Bicorne = 79 keys b/o (this was the one dumped to stn.tf so should be fine to exclude)