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Study
Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/8681567514
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1607126400/1607212800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197990076257#!/compare/1607126400/1607212800
Sold for 22 keys
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197990076257#!/compare/1607212800/1607299200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1607212800/1607299200
~20 keys match
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1607731200/1607817600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1607731200/1607817600
https://prnt.sc/xtk5rq
Sold for 22 keys
Sale 4
Sold on MP
Item 2
https://backpack.tf/item/7955957824
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135972581#!/compare/1609804800/1609891200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1609718400/1609804800
7 keys 5.33 ref matches
Sale 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1611360000/1611446400
Sold for 29 keys
https://gladiator.tf/listings/600d5636d5dfe826cca4064d - buyout 29 keys
Item 3
https://backpack.tf/item/7955638172
Sale 7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159464344#!/compare/1608595200/1608681600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140162979#!/compare/1608595200/1608681600
Gifted
Sale 8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140162979#!/compare/1608595200/1608681600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154799999#!/compare/1607731200/1609804800
Untrace
Item 4
https://backpack.tf/item/2618338271
Sale 9
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207199727#!/compare/1608595200/1608768000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137566942#!/compare/1608681600/1608768000
Bulk for Burning Pot
Marketplace sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/98;5;u58
Jan 3rd - $69.99 / $2.11 = 33.17 keys
Sales
22, 22, 29, 33
Lets see, considering the 29 key purchase is reselling for $69.99 on marketplace
Current Listings
https://prnt.sc/xtkesr
Unsold at 30 keys for a month+
Honestly going with 22 keys flat here, I don't think it is completely fair to say 22 - 29 keys correctly represents the value of this item
22
https://gladiator.tf/listings/60194361a16390f43dab771d - likely sale at 24.5
https://backpack.tf/item/2618338271 + https://backpack.tf/item/2923026297 were likely bought for ~22-23 each
29 was pure, so I would prefer the full range of 22 - 29. Buyers are close to 23 now as well.
Given your comment we now have this:
there are 4 sales at 22/23 keys, one at 24.5, then one at 29 and one at 33 keys. I don't particularly see why 29 keys should be included. My argument for suggestions I now make is to take whitelisted sales with a huge grain of salt since those aren't legitimate sales.
I mean 29 is not a mp sale, I guess your point is that Erik wouldn't of bought it if he wasn't whitelisted? I'm not opposed to excluding 29 but there is no other traceable high-end, so this would be left open to get more sales in that case. 22 flat is going to be low here tho.
I'll resuggest at 22 - 29 keys just for the sake of having an updated price here that sort of better reflects the current market. But this is certainly a point I will continue raise in future suggestions.