History 1: https://backpack.tf/item/9452613894

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109890718#!/compare/1606435200/1607385600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297249131#!/compare/1606608000/1607126400

History 2: https://backpack.tf/item/9246727723

3 keys (the Reindoonibeanie in the buyer's compare doesn't have matching histories)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1608595200/1608681600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198970059398#!/compare/1608681600/1611187200

History 3: https://backpack.tf/item/9146549453

Trades involving a phisher and a scammer ALT

History 4: https://backpack.tf/item/8947334524

1 ref matches:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1605139200/1605398400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382290208#!/compare/1605139200/1605225600

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382290208#!/compare/1605312000/1605398400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210225228#!/compare/1605225600/1605484800

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210225228#!/compare/1607040000/1607212800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199013591311#!/compare/1602547200/1611100800

History 5: https://backpack.tf/item/8933707781

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1605312000/1605398400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056478496#!/compare/1605139200/1605571200

History 6: https://backpack.tf/item/8865098787

Untraceable/dump to STN.tf:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199013767102#!/compare/1604966400/1606780800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1604880000/1604966400

4 keys 24 ref, 4.4 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1606521600/1606608000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198321756665#!/compare/1606608000/1607040000

History 7:

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198817996028#!/compare/1606435200/1607644800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448171943#!/compare/1607558400/1607644800

Bot transfer

History 8: https://backpack.tf/item/7680578975

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198343973874#!/compare/1606867200/1608249600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198351095395#!/compare/1608940800/1610236800

History 9: https://backpack.tf/item/7066473997

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1605657600/1605744000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199057562924#!/compare/1605657600/1605744000

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199057562924#!/compare/1605744000/1606003200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020281713#!/compare/1605744000/1605830400

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020281713#!/compare/1605744000/1605830400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1605657600/1605744000

Untraceable:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1606694400/1606780800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086801457#!/compare/1606003200/1606953600

History 10: https://backpack.tf/item/6987132947

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088636158#!/compare/1609113600/1609372800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069175223#!/compare/1609200000/1609286400

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069175223#!/compare/1611014400/1611100800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154211785#!/compare/1609113600/1611532800

History 11: https://backpack.tf/item/6748241835

Deposit + bot transfers

History 12: https://backpack.tf/item/6429884854

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340634356#!/compare/1609286400/1609372800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050062763#!/compare/1608768000/1609372800

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050062763#!/compare/1609545600/1609891200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890990852#!/compare/1609804800/1609891200

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890990852#!/compare/1611273600/1611360000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827692195#!/compare/1609891200/1611446400

History 13: https://backpack.tf/item/6215650754

Marketplace.tf sale

Bulk for the Stormy Storm Hong Kong Cone

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096591232#!/compare/1609027200/1609113600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1608940800/1609027200

History 14: https://backpack.tf/item/5373511635

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340634356#!/compare/1609286400/1609372800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050062763#!/compare/1608768000/1609372800

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050062763#!/compare/1609545600/1609891200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890990852#!/compare/1609804800/1609891200

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890990852#!/compare/1611360000/1611360000/nearest

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827692195#!/compare/1609891200/1611446400

History 15: https://backpack.tf/item/5359520290

Bulk for the Searing Plasma Surgeon's Stahlhelm

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198800491809#!/compare/1607817600/1609113600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198390326812#!/compare/1608163200/1608249600

Marketplace.tf sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30839;5;u3009

November 15: $6.14/1.78=3.45 keys

December 14: $9.9/1.96=5.05 keys

December 14: $9.8/1.96=5 keys

January 10: $16.9/2.12=7.97 ~7.95 keys

January 21: $10.55/2.1=5.02 ~5 keys

Unsolds: 3 at 5 keys (https://backpack.tf/item/9146549453 https://backpack.tf/item/5431895146 https://backpack.tf/item/6215650754)

Sales at 3, 3.45, 4.4, 5, 5, 5.05, 7.95

Given the 3 sellers at 5, 7.95 is for sure an outlier, also given one of them has been there for a month.

Buyers up to 4.42 keys, 3-3.45 is gonna be low, still gonna keep 4.4 included to include more trading points, also given the fact these lower sales support including it

Gonna go 4.4-5, 5.05 doesn't really need to be in the range