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wow it sold recently
https://backpack.tf/item/3143831028
The item says it becomes tradable after Feb 2nd, which means that the item was sold on Jan 26th through SCM (http://prntscr.com/xugg1s)
The chart (here) shows that on Jan 26th, a hat was sold for $459.42
Keys averaged $2.49 during that time, so 459.42/2.49 = ~184.5, rounding to 185 keys
185 keys
https://imgur.com/a/81k8NoN - Now listed for $1000